The advance number of actual initial claims under state
programs, unadjusted, totaled 436,766 in the week ending January 19, a decrease
of 119,944 from the previous week but 20,000 higher than this time last year. There were 416,880 initial claims in the
comparable week in 2012. (see the DoL report, here)
Understand that the “seasonally adjusted” number is
always an unreal number, that allows those who publish such
nonsense, to mitigate the highs and lows
of the real numbers.
In this case, for
example, the seasonally adjusted first
time claims number for last week is 330,000
(for week ending Jan 19, 2013).
The actual number of folks walking into a claims office is 436,766 [claims processed during
last week] or, 106,000 more than the make-believe "seasonally adjusted" count.
Further, and in this
case, the two numbers present a vastly
different reality. The adjusted number
shows a jobs economy that is trending upwards while the real numbers show a
jobs economy that is 20,000 jobs poorer than in January of 2012 . . .
. and somewhat static.
The fact is we are far from where we need to be in order to
seriously applaud the current situation. We have fewer job positions filled than a year ago, and, to make matters worse, if the workforce was as large as when Obama took office (2009), unemployment
would be 10.5 % and underemployment would be 14.2% . 8.8 million fewer Americans are being counted in the unemployment figures. These people are not working and have no hope for change, anytime soon.
Because of ObamaCare,
the hope of an improving jobs market carries this caveat: a huge percentage of all "added jobs" are
part-time (under 30 hours per
week) to make up for the reduction in full time employment.
Thousands of jobs are being created to account for the new,
part time positions. The hourly wage
number is decreasing, the financial stress
on small businesses is increasing, and the
middle class is shrinking, all due to
the driving influence of ObamaCare.
Thanks,
Democrats, for nothing but misery
and hard times. What started as a
recessionary cycle, in the last two
years of Bush, is now a way of
life, under H Obama.
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