Midknight Review -- new and revised: This illustrates everything that is wrong with [some] polling firms. She's up by 15 // She's down by 1

Same writer; same contestants; same day; same news outlet

MA-SEN

New Poll Gives Dem Coakley Big Lead In MA-SEN Special Election

Eric Kleefeld | January 10, 2010, 9:55AM

MA AG Martha Coakley

Th new University of New Hampshire poll, commissioned by the Boston Globe, gives Democratic candidate Martha Coakley a big lead in the January 19 spacial election for Ted Kennedy's Senate seat.

The numbers: Coakley 50%, Brown 35%, and independent libertarian Joe Kennedy at 5%, with a ±4.2% margin of error. When undecideds were pushed, Coakley's lead became 53%-36%, with Kennedy's numbers staying the same. This poll contradicts yesterday's survey by Public Policy Polling (D), which gave Republican Scott Brown a one-point edge because of a lack of Democratic enthusiasm.

As the Globe notes: "Although the Senate race electorate is fairly firm in its choices - 61 percent say they have definitely decided whom they will support, and 15 percent are leaning toward a candidate - special elections can remain volatile until the last minute. Turnout is also highly unpredictable in an election that follows a holiday and could be affected by winter weather."

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MA-SEN

Poll: MA-SEN Race Is A Toss-Up -- GOPer Brown Has One-Point Edge

Eric Kleefeld | January 10, 2010, 12:24AM

MA Senate candidates Martha Coakley (D) and Scott Brown (R).

The new survey of Massachusetts by Public Policy Polling (D) sends a very alarming message to Democrats: Due to a fall in interest by Democratic voters, the race for the late Ted Kennedy's Senate seat is a toss-up, and Republican Scott Brown even has a one-point edge over Democrat Martha Coakley.

The numbers: Brown 48%, Coakley 47%, with a ±3.6% margin of error. The election will be held on January 19. Independent candidate Joe Kennedy, a libertarian who is not related to the famous Kennedy family, was not included in the poll. If Brown were to pick up this seat in Democratic Massachusetts, it would surely spell the end of the health care bill -- Brown has made it very clear that he would use his power as the 41st Republican Senator to stop the bill.

The pollster's analysis notes that Republicans are far more enthusiastic about voting than Democrats are. "The Massachusetts Senate race is shaping up as a potential disaster for Democrats," said PPP president Dean Debnam, in the polling memo. "Martha Coakley's complacent campaign has put Scott Brown in a surprisingly strong position and she will need to step it up in the final week to win a victory once thought inevitable."

The Stated Nonsense from the Left now includes these Progressive goals:

July 2, 2008, Obama had this to say: "We cannot continue to rely only on our military in order to achieve the national security objectives that we've set. We've got to have a civilian national security force that's just as powerful, just as strong, just as well-funded."

MICHELLE OBAMA: "Barack knows that we are going to have to make sacrifices; we are going to have to change our conversation; we're going to have to change our traditions, our history; we're going to have to move into a different place as a nation."

“ . . . . . . they have become a generation of activists possessed with that most American of ideas – that people who love their country can change it.” -- Obama the Radical

On September 30, Van Jones told MSNBC "I think everybody should hold onto your seats. October is going to be the turning point when it comes to the progressive fight back."

1 comment:

AnonymousJanuary 11, 2010 at 9:45 AM
We need to carefully guard any close elections, since the Democrats plan to challenge and cause chaos, and thereby secure a win as they did in the Minnesota Senate race. Remember who said, it's not the voters who determine who wins, it's the ones who counts the votes. That was Josef Stalin. He has proven to be right even in our nation.