38 retiring House Republicans -- why this may not be a disaster.

Twenty-one of these 38 retiring Republicans are in districts with a partisan voting index (PVI) of R+10, while only two are in districts with D+ PVI. Furthermore, four Democratic representatives in Republican leaning districts are retiring, further mitigating possible losses.

With the disproportionate number of retirees in safe Republican districts the Republican Party has an unprecedented opportunity. Whoever wins the Republican primaries in these districts will most likely win the general election. With these nearly guaranteed victories, the Republican Party can choose a slate of candidates that includes more females, Hispanics and younger politicians. If the Republicans enact such a strategy, it can be the death blow to the Democratic Party’s use of identity politics.


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