Because Trump voters are often unwilling to be surveyed, many in the national polling community believe that you can add 5 points to any survey for a more accurate polling result, when it comes to Donald Trump. Makes sense. This would explain the epic failure of our national polls, in predicting the 2016 elections.
Understand that Hillary led in more polls, during the campaign season, than did Barack Obama. Yet, she lost that election, and, lost the popular vote outside of the State of California.
On May the 8th, Trump was sitting on a 45% approval rating, per Rasmussen. Today, immediately after the Comey firing, his numbers rose to 47%. And national polls have him winning against Hillary by 3% of the popular vote, if the election was held today.
In other words, folks understand that this assault versus Trump is feckless and totally without merit except as a tool for the enemy forces living within our country, and, embedded within our federal government.
Do you like posting fake news? Kind of like....
ReplyDeleteTrump's letter to Comey:
"While I greatly appreciate you informing me, on three separate occasions, that I am not under investigation.."
F.B.I. Is Investigating Trump’s Russia Ties, Comey Confirms
MARCH 20, 2017
https://www.nytimes.com/2017/03/20/us/politics/fbi-investigation-trump-russia-comey.html
James B. Comey said that the agency is investigating Russian interference in the 2016 presidential election. That is what the NY Times areticle said.
DeleteYou lie when you write, "F.B.I. is investigating Trump's Russia Ties, Comey confirms."
Understand that the FBI investigation is a counter intelligence investigation, not a criminal investigation.
You lie when you write, "F.B.I. is investigating Trump's Russia Ties, Comey confirms."
DeleteTHAT, my friend, was the actual headline, verbatim.
https://www.nytimes.com/2017/03/20/us/politics/fbi-investigation-trump-russia-comey.html
You quoted it, you own it . . . . . and it is still a lie.
DeleteQuinnipiac Poll:
ReplyDeleteTrump approval - 36% and that is before the Comey firing.
By a 54 - 38 percent margin, American voters want the Democratic Party to win control of the U.S. House of Representatives. This is the widest margin ever measured for this question in a Quinnipiac University poll, exceeding a 5 percentage point margin for Republicans in 2013.
American voters' opinions of several of Trump's personal qualities are down:
61 - 33 percent that he is not honest, compared to 58 - 37 percent April 19;
56 - 41 percent that he does not have good leadership skills, little change;
59 - 38 percent that he does not care about average Americans, compared to 57-42 percent April 19;
66 - 29 percent that he is not level-headed, compared to 63 - 33 percent last month;
62 - 35 percent that he is a strong person, little change;
56 - 41 percent that he is intelligent, compared to 58 - 38 percent;
64 - 32 percent that he does not share their values, compared to 61 - 35 percent.
John Smithson will predictably dismiss this poll, however readers should note, Smithson has quoted Qunnipiac Polls 49 times on this blog
How does this square with the fact that 96% of the 64 million folks voting for Trump last November would vote for him again. How about the ABC/WaPost poll that found that Trump would beat Hillary IN THE POPULAR vote by 3 points (he lost that vote by 2 points --- a 5 point swing since becoming President). Consider the fact that Democrats took 0nly 227 electoral votes when, at one time, they were on track to score 340 electoral votes. Lets not forget that all major poll;ing firms had Hillary winning the election, on November 5. Keep in mind that as many a 10% of those called in any of these survey's hang up and refuse to be poll. Turns out most of these folks voted for Trump. Add their unkown numbers to the 62 million currently supporting the Prez. Let's not forget that the Dems are doing ABSOLUTELY NOTHING to win Middle America.
Delete