The point of my headline, is rather straight forward: If Hillary cannot generate a huge Democrat turnout in 2016, she will lose the election and further erode the political influence of the Marxist Progressives within the Democrat Party.
I encourage you to read the following:
http://www.bloombergview.com/articles/2015-06-05/clinton-support-has-nowhere-to-go-but-down
The link, above, records a very informative article, found in Bloomberg, about the reality surrounding and inundating (?) Hillary Clinton.
At the present time, in the 240 year national debate between "big government" and those who believe in individual freedom and oppose a "one size fits all" Central Government, the key to winning an election is a pesky little thing called "turn-out." Personality drives turnout. Many of us hated the lip-biting arrogance of Bill Clinton, but the man had personality. Many of us hate the radicalized dream world of Barack Obama, but the man has personality.Many hated the cowboy politics of Ron Reagan, but, again, he had personality. Even Jimmy Carter, a man I voted for the first time, had a sense of sincerity and honesty that drove people to him . . . . . . before they realized that he was a Jew hating nutbag, that is.
Hillary? Not so much. And how is she hoping to get elected? By preaching racism, sexism, and, policies straight out of 20/30 years ago . . . . . . . . and doing so without an ounce of personality or charisma.
Truman had no personality. Can't say that Eisenhower or LBJ were especially charismatic, either, so Hillary has a chance, but not against a charismatic and honest personality.
Understand that "likability" and "trustworthiness" effect voter turnout. And the article linked to this commentary, is all about the fact that more and more people are seeing Hillary in a poor light. Understand that dyed-in-the-wool liberal Progressives, whether welfare cases or ideologues, will never vote "conservative," unless their candidate is so overwhelmingly ridiculous, that they will have no choice . . . . . I mean, that is exactly what happened to Carter, the second time around, right? If the Democrats are not impressed with Hillary and are not going to switch sides, what are they going to do? The answer? Stay home and talk on their free phones.
If she manages to get 51% of the total electorate, in 2016 (estimated at a potential size of 130 million), she will win the election. But . . . . . . if she cannot get 66/67 million folks to vote for her, in 2016, she is in big trouble.
And "turnout" can defeat any candidate, at any time. Look at Scott Walker in the union controlled state of Wisconsin, or Scott Brown running for Ted Kennedy's seat in Massachusetts, or the unknown Hogan, a Republican, winning as Governor in the very blue state of Maryland in 2014 after four years of Martin O'Malley.
Here's the deal: if the voters see this nation as being in a mess, after eight years of authoritarian rule by Barack Obama, AND, Hillary does not run against the current Administration (and how could she?), she is not going to beat the well known Jeb Bush, a well spoken Marco Rubio, an effective Texas Governor in Rick Perry (we can only hope his 2012 physical troubles are over), or the very successful, Blue State governors of Wisonsin (Scott Walker) and John Kasich (Ohio).
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