Will Obama actually drill in Alaska? The "futures" investors say, "Heck no !!!"

This is more significant that you might first imagine: "Crude futures rose Thursday but prices traded in a narrow range as the market continued to mull over the latest set of U.S. Department of Energy inventory data" (source: WSJ).

And the significance is? Last Friday, May 13, Obama announced that he planned to open up drilling in Alaska. In 2008, on a Friday in mid-July, president Bush announced off-shore drilling plans (which never materialized, btw), and the price of oil began a steady 6 month downward trend.

Obama attempted the same strategy, in an effort to drive "futures investors" into hiding. We suggested that if these investors decided to believe Obama's "Alaska threat," the price of oil would begin another downward trend . . . . immediately, as was the case nearly three years ago. While the price per barrel has dropped five or six cents since Obama's announcement, it is not the downward trend of 2008 and the futures market in oil continues its upward movement. The investors do not believe Obama; they do not believe that anyone will be drilling in Alaska anytime soon. We suspected as much.

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