Problems for the Alarmist Warming Crowd: (1) "They" keep changing the numbers in the interest of "accurate" reporting. (2) Stable to cooling temps have been the case for a decade and a half.

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Before you get too confused with all the numbers in this post,  here is the straight forward summary of what you are about to read: (a) The warming crowd keeps changing their numbers (July-'36 v July-'12), and (b),  we have been in a stable to cooling cycle for a decade and a half,  and counting. 

FYI:  I am pushing against the Warming Alarmists,  because they have gone back to their Alarmist agenda, in recent weeks,  and you need to know the facts.   

And,  off into the weeds we go:  
Know that for the past two years,  there has been a debate as to which "July" was the hottest July of all time:  July of 1936 or July of 2012. 

Every spike on the first chart (below) is "July" for a particular year,  beginning with 1895.  This is an official chart from NOAA  (i.e. "progressive governmental weather agency") .  

Up until 2012,  the hottest month of all time was July of 1936.  But in 2012,  NOAA recalibrated its 1936 findings,  and,  Sha Zam !!,  July of 2012 was, suddenly,  hotter than '36.  

BUT  !!!    . . . . .   As of two weeks ago,  another calibration was posted,  finding July of '36,  once again,  taking over the top spot by three hundredths of a percent as NOAA continues to fantasize about global warming in the context of the past 16 years (chart #2).   

Understand that the rapidly rising, annual,  heat index,  came to a screeching halt in 1999 with 12 of the past 16 years being being at or below 1998 levels,  a major problem for the Alarmist crowd.   

You would expect that NOAA* numbers would be "written in stone,"  but, in fact  -  and embarrassingly for the Alarmist Crowd - its numbers are, too often,  transitory.   The NOAA chart (#1) below is proof of that claim with NOAA unable to finally decide which is the hotter month.  But that might not be their only problem.   If July of '36 can be changed and then re-instated,  what about all those other numbers?  Seriously,  1936 is the only temperature not written in stone??? !!!   Well,  that and 2012 ??   

And note the heat/cooling cycles for historic "July."    Major heat in or near July of 1900 followed by cooler Julies.    Again,  hotter Julies in the 1930's followed by cooler July records.  Finally,  a July warming tread in the 2000's in the context of a level to cooling trend during that same period of time. 


#1

Confused?  Let's back up for an editorial moment.  In the above,  I talk about July and "July in context."   Understand that the Warming Crowd needs, or,  at least,  wants 2012-July to be warmer than 1936-July because it fits their alarmist narrative.  

"Context" has to do with the fact that,  while 2012-July ranks as either the hottest or second hottest July on record,  July is just one month of the year.  In the chart below (#2),  you can see that since 1998,  there have been only 4 years as warm or warmer than 1998,  with 2006 being the hottest year on record and 2011 being one of the coolest in two decades.  That 2012-July?  It was recorded in a very hot year,  but within the larger context of a stable or cooling trend (since 1998).  

Point of post:  (a) The warming crowd keeps changing their numbers, and (b),  we have been in a stable to cooling cycle for a decade and a half,  and counting.  

#2

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* NOAA = National Oceanic Atmospheric Administration

3 comments:

  1. What Smithson doesn't get ... one year - whether it be 1998 or 1935 does not indicate ANYTHING ... except in Smithson's twisted and unscientific science denying mind.

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    1. Did you just surrender the point? Of course, trend lines are more important, but if "one year" means nothing, why is your side of the aisle so concerned about "1936" versus "1998?"

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  2. All warming/cooling cycles that matter, are regional. Turns out the a US bar chart is almost identical to the bar chart (England) in this post. A single "world temp" that averages the 7 world regions, is very misleading. Almost all of the warming the Left is worried about, actually occurs north of equator, and, again, this warming trend has come to a halt, as of 1999 (if not a few years earlier). Understand that England and the US are part of the world pictures that is of greatest concern to the Alarmists, and in both cases, per the official, government generated, charts, in this post, the trend lines headed down. Temporary? No one knows for sure. Time will tell, but, for the time being, there is no reason for panic or the redistribution of wealth, the Left desperately wants.

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