According to this chart, found at Business Insider (but it is not one of their charts), we have this circumstance, a year out from the coming elections. With the "Solid/Likely" category, we have the GOP sitting on 206 electoral votes to the Dems 191. The magic electoral number is 270 with 141 electoral votes waiting to decide this election. I believe that Wisconsin should be in the "Lean Rep."
There are a number of local supervisor elections in the central Florida tomorrow, Tuesday the 8th. The state went to Obama in '08 by 3 points and gave the campaign a whopping 29 electoral votes. I believe this state "leans GOP" at the present time.
Last Tuesday, Colorado voters defeated a number of Democrat sponsored funding bills by a wide margin; not a good sign for Obama in a state he won by 9% in '08. I believe that this state leans Right, as well.
Wisconsin: there is an interesting special election in the 95th district that might give some insight as to how this embattled state will vote in '08. The GOP was swept into power in both state houses and the Governorship in 2010. Since then, it has been in the news almost daily. The unions in that state are relentless and among the most persistent whiners of any group in the country. They have been defeated in a number of special elections and are intending to recall the new Governor, Scott Walker.
In Iowa, there is a special election that could give the GOP a 50-50 split in the state Senate.
That could make it easier for the GOP to accomplish some of its agenda and might influence the '08 presidential outcome. Iowa went to Obama by only 6% of the vote.
Ohioans will elect mayors, members of city and village councils, members of village boards of trustees of public affairs, other city and village officers, judges and clerks of municipal courts, members of boards of education and township trustees and fiscal officers. Voters will also weigh in on three statewide issues. Ohio went to Obama by 18% but is considered a battleground state during this election cycle. Tomorrow's results may tell us why.
Update: Ohioans are voting to take down changes to the states newly installed collective bargaining statutes. Understand that collective bargaining is still the case for unionized wages, but no longer extends to the socialist's union benefit programs. Like those in Greece, unions, in this country, refuse to do their fair share. Federal employees, most members of the SEIU, do not have collective bargaining powers.
Virginia went to Obama by 13% in 'o8, but is considered one of the five most important states for the coming year. It is a general election with a lot of local offices up for grabs. You will hear much about the election results in this state, Tuesday evening and Wednesday
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