Obama has his first good week in three months. What happens next??

This past week ended three months of disastrous campaign decisions and failing polling numbers for Obama.  Nothing he put forward over the past 15 weeks has given him any kind of a bounce,  at all. 

This week brought an end to that drought.  He moved ahead of Romney in the Rasmussen head to head poll for the first time in nearly a month, and  

 hit the elusive “50%” mark for one of the few times that has happened over the past three years. 

Date	Presidential Approval Index	Strongly Approve	Strongly Disapprove	Total Approve	Total Disapprove
6/30/2012	-15	26%	41%	50%	49%
6/29/2012	-15	24%	39%	49%	49%
6/28/2012	-20	22%	42%	47%	51%
6/27/2012	-20	22%	42%	47%	52%
6/26/2012	-20	23%	43%	46%	52%
6/25/2012	-20	23%	43%	46%	52%
6/24/2012	-22	23%	45%	44%	54%
6/23/2012	-22	23%	45%	44%	54%
6/22/2012	-22	23%	45%	44%	54%

What has not happened,  however,  is any marked improvement in his “strongly approve” numbers.  Understand that this is the "enthusiasm level" and is more important than the general “total approve” number.  

Why do I make that claim?    For one thing,  the voting percentage of the “strongly approve” segment is nearly 100%.   His campaign workforce is in this demographic, as well.   Obama won the 2008 election with a strongly approve percentage of 45.    The last time Obama saw a "40% strongly approve” number was March 6, 2009, just six weeks after he took the oath.  The last time he saw 30% “strongly approve”  was November 11,  of 2009. 

Unless and until Obama’s numbers reach the mid to high “30’s” in his strongly approve rating,  his re-election is in serious jeopardy.  Turn-out and enthusiasm are the keys to an anti capitalist,  pro redistributionist victory.  

I personally do not believe that turn out will duplicate  the 70 million voters who placed their marks by the side of Obama’s name.  He won that election by a margin of nearly 10 million votes.  But things are much different now,  in 2012,  and he stands to lose a significant portion of that winning cushion.  

Here is why: 

First,  many folks are “turned off” by his lies and populace disconnect.  Some of these people will be swing voters.  

His approval numbers with Independents are not good,  and this group, swing voters all,   makes their votes count. 

Third,  he has far too much exposure to make a difference, personally.  If he cannot capitalize off an event of some sort (such as the recent Supreme Court decision),  it is for certain that Obama’s rhetoric is not the key to success,  although he is campaigning as if that were not true.   As a result,  there will be few “conversion voters” to his side of the aisle.   

If you have not noticed,  the Slickster’s campaign strategy is to speak to as many progressive audiences as he can.  It is his strategy to win this election solely on the basis of a divided nation with the largest majority in his camp.  That is what he believes.  That is his only hope. 

Understand that the 2008 election saw 70 million vote for Obama and 61 million vote for the other guy.  I do not believe that Obama’s numbers will grow.  In fact, I believe that 70 million was an optimum response to his candidacy.  Fewer Americans will vote for him in this election.    A swing of 5 million votes could win this election for the good guys.  Of course,  beating Obama is not as simple as winning the national vote.  Ask Al Gore about that. 

As we move closer and closer to November the 6^th, this blog will be concerned with how the numbers are working.   I will, also, continue presenting   talking points that help define the philosophical divide and give the reader some sort of polemic advantage.

If we win,  we have four years to prove that we can solve the primary societal problems facing this nation.  If not,  the game is over for all time,  and the United States of America will enter a track that takes this nation into membership with the larger, One World community  --  and our role in that environment will not be one of strength  -- Obama has ended that possibility. 

And, to think,  just four years ago,  our only problem was one of debt.