Even Liberal Polling admits to the possibility of the GOP taking back BOTH houses of Congress - as it should be.

From FiveThirtyEight polling: Our latest Senate simulation has the chamber convening in 2011 with an average of 53.4 Democrats (counting Joe Lieberman and Bernie Sanders), 46.1 Republicans, and 0.5 Charlie Crists. This is an improvement for Republicans from our last forecast three weeks ago, which had 55.2 Democrats, 44.2 Republicans, and 0.6 Crists. The changes, however, predominantly reflect several methodological improvements we have made rather than any particular national momentum, although the dynamics of some individual contests are certainly evolving.

The model gives Republicans a 17 percent chance of taking over the Senate if Charlie Crist caucuses with them, up significantly from 6 percent three weeks ago. If Crist does not caucus with them, their chances of a takeover are 12 percent. However, the model does not account for the contingency that someone like Joe Lieberman or Ben Nelson could decide to switch parties, which makes their chances slightly better than we suggest here.

Democrats' chances of gaining a net of one or more seat and re-claiming a 60-seat majority are 7 percent, down from 12 percent three weeks ago. If they could persuade Charlie Crist to caucus with them, however, their chances would improve to 10 percent.

Methodological improvements. There are four changes to the model from June's version, which are briefly described below. The first change -- the likely voter adjustment -- is by far the most important.

Likely voter adjustment. We now notate whether each poll is of likely voters, registered voters, or all adults, and include variables for this in the regression analysis we use to calculate pollster house effects. The regression shows that, holding house effects constant, Democrats do a net of 4 points better in polls of registered voters (with a 95 percent confidence interval of about 2-6 points) than in polls of likely voters, and roughly 7 points better in polls of all adults. So if we took, for example, the recent Ipsos poll of California, a poll of registered voters which showed Barbara Boxer with a 4-point lead over her Republican challenger, Carly Fiornia, we would expect it to show about a tied race if a likely voter screen had been applied instead. . .YOU WILL WANT TO READ THE FULL ARTICLE HERE. >>>>

Editor's notes: this is a comprehensive look at the up and coming midterm elections. We see this article as very good news for the Right -- news coming from [perhaps] the most biased of polling agencies, except for network news outlets. We are less than 110 days from the elections and much will happen to effect the outcome.

Point of post: as unlikely as it might seem, there is reason to believe that the GOP can take back BOTH houses of Congress.
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