You should know that "national polls" do not count for much in the world of election predictions. As an anecdotal example, if California's vote for Obama is down by 10%, the state's electoral votes will still go to Obama. Conversely, if his numbers are up by 10%, his elective victory is precisely the same. Gore won the popular vote, in 2000 and lost the election. Of course, the commies on the Left decried this outcome, arguing that the election was "clearly not democracy at work." But, of course, that was not true.
Our form of democracy is "representative" or "republic" in form as opposed to a dictatorial democracy (Venezuela) or a parliamentary socialist democracy (much of Europe) or a direct form. Understand that a pure democracy does not allow for the opinions of minorities, "democracy" being the rule of the majority. Nowhere in this world are minorities given more clout, than in the United States of America. The New Socialist Democrat Party here in the United States, along with several national labor unions, prefer to rule as a solitary collective, in a dictatorial state. Such is not conjecture, but a conclusion drawn from its conduct over the past four years. Understand that the day this nation moves away from a democratic republic and leaves behind the electoral college, that will be the day that national conservatism died as the historic ideology of this great nation. Only traitors to the historicity of this country, oppose the current voting standards used since the beginning of our republic.
Since I brought up the Gore/Bush election, you know, the one Socialist Democrats continue to whine about 12 years later, I hasten to point out that if Gore had won his home state of Tennessee or Clinton's home state of Arkansas, he would have been president. Florida did not cost him one stinking thing -- losing in his home state was the problem.
Conclusion: without regard to all the name calling on both sides of the aisle, and the effort to fundamentally transform this nation into a European style, socialist democracy, current polls show that the American people have tired of this failing effort and are ready to return to a more typical national conversation.
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From the National Review:
President Obama remains marginally ahead of Mitt
Romney in a new national CNN/ORC International poll released on
Monday, although Romney leads Obama in the 15 states identified by the network
as battleground states.
Obama leads Romney nationally, 49 percent to 46 percent,
with 4 percent of those surveyed saying they would vote for another candidate
or neither candidate. That is inside the poll's margin of error, and it is
identical to the 49 percent to 46 percent lead Obama had in the previous poll,
conducted in late May. It is also similar to the
latest Gallup tracking poll, which shows Obama leading Romney by 5
percentage points, the president's high-water mark from a survey house that has been less favorable to him thus far during
the campaign. That lead among registered voters is Obama's largest in
Gallup since April.
However, in the 15 states CNN calls its battleground states
— Arizona, Colorado, Florida, Indiana, Iowa, Michigan, Missouri, Nevada, New
Hampshire, New Mexico, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, and
Wisconsin — Romney leads Obama, 51 percent to 43 percent. Notably,
though, the CNN/ORC International group includes three states thought to be
comfortably in the Romney column this cycle: Arizona, Indiana, and Missouri.
A recent NBC News/Wall Street Journal survey contained
a subsample of voters in 12 states, not the same 15 in this new survey. The NBC/Wall
Street Journal did not include the aforementioned trio of states where
Romney leads in the polls. It showed Obama leading in its 12 swing
states by 8 points. (full article found here)
This is a bogus post. 15 battleground states won't decide this. Abbout a half dozen wil.
ReplyDeleteIf you want good information thats draws on the most sources and a proven accuracy record, Nate Silver is the most accurate.
Smithson is like a swine... he sniffs into anything he can find that he can feed on. It gies him reassurance even though the reality is that the GOP is getting their ass kicked by all predictions and polls.
ReplyDeleteSeems like everyday, a republican does or says something repugnant. Joe Walsh (R-IL) today, who will it be tomorrow?
I guess "anonymous" appears to have ignored the fact that the info in this post was wholly based upon Leftist polling concerns. I was not the one who mentioned "15 battleground states." NBC and CNN are Liberal standard keepers. Anony is just pissed because they are giving information that encourages the Right. You have a problem with the "facts?" Talk to CNN and NBC.
ReplyDeleteSpeaking of a butt kicking, an 8 point lead is just that.
Speaking of a butt kicking, the mid-term elections were just that.
Nate Silver hasn't been Right since he turned Left into the Washington Post's parking lot and came up with the sham polling company, PPP. He is nothing more than a Left Wing Marxist Whore. The last time I used this clown's numbers, was when he declared Romney to be in big trouble in the Swing States after he did a survey that interviewed 3 Democrats for every 1 Republican . . . . . . . an utter joke of poll.
Nate SIlver's preditions are based on many mnay polls and compilations. But you'll stick with what you want to hear.
ReplyDeleteConsider the 4 following facts:
1) Quinnipiac was statistically the most accurate poll in the previous election.
2) If Romney loses OH, he loses the election. Not so for Obama.
3) Quinnipiac has Obama +9 in OH in the latest poll
4) You're getting your ass kicked. The RCP avg of polls shows Obama leading in 10 of 12 of the so called "swing states" including the big ones: OH, VA, FL
Game over for the Mormon from Kolob and the teabaggers like Smithson.