<<<< Chris Matthews cms meter gives us this result. The NBC poll, reviewed in this post, lists Obama's inexperience as the #2 negative factor in his presidential evaluation. ObamaCare was the #3 negative and the economy was #1.
The Daily Caller reports "A new CNN poll appears to give Gov. Mitt Romney an implausible 8-point advantage over President Barack Obama in 15 swing states. If accurate, the poll would show Romney on track to a blowout victory in November." The article did not refer the reader to the actual CNN poll and I could not find it listed on the web. Apparently, the web was cleansed of this inconvenient truth.
Surprisingly, there is a NBC/Wall Street Journal poll that, at this stage in the campaign, I find it very encouraging for the Romney people.
For starters, while this poll gives Obama a 3 point lead over the challenger, still, the headline for this polling article reads: "Obama/Romney remain in dead heat." As it turns out, the "lead" remains within the margin of error in this poll. Last month, this very poll gave Obama a 4 point lead, and in April, the divide favored Obama 49 to 43, but there will be no headlines that read, "Romney closing the gap."
Secondly, Obama no longer has a winning hand as regards the electoral college. It takes 270 electoral votes to win the presidential election (and only the presidential election). Obama has 246 of those votes, down from the 270 needed, and Romney has 206, up from 180 votes a couple of weeks ago.
The article represents the TEA party as only, just now, beginning to rally behind Mitt Romney. I can tell you that in the Central Valley of California, a strong TEA party area, things have not gone into high gear, as of yet, which adds to the articles credibility on this point.
One very important observation: in reviewing the PDF record, Obama's "net negatives" far out weighed his positives, when folks were asked about specifics regarding his presidency. That divide was 52% negative to 44% positive, with "inexperience" the number two concern in the negative column.
Obama's leads
among women (primarily single women) 52 to 39 percent and 48 to 43 percent
with men. Men are more the more
disciplined class of voters, in this case.
No one really is
talking about “white voters.” It is
almost as if they do not count for much,
in these modern times. The
pro-Romney divided among white voters is 52 to 39 percent and white
voters, while a smaller demographic than
15 years ago, still carry a 74% majority
into this election, compared to the
[other] ethnic subsets. Their vote is single most important factor in this election.
One noteworthy
revelation centers around the Latino vote:
among young Latinos, ages 18 to
29, Obama leads 52% to 35%. I say “noteworthy” because he carried this
demographic with a 66% mark, in
2008.
All in all, this is a very good report for Mitt Romney’s
very young campaign.
________________________
End notes:
- Refer to CNN's Politckerblog
- MSNBC's First Read
- The poll's PDF
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