This week's Thursday "first time claimant"
report is up 11,000 over the initial report for the week ending June 2.
For the 66th week (out of 67), the Federal Government has adjusted
these numbers in an effort to avoid the "current" news cycle.
As it turns out, all adjustments - all 66 of them - somehow miss
the headlines for the weeks they are adjusted except, here, at Midknight
Review. As an example, the 3,000 upward adjustment for the previous
report (June 2) will go unreported. In fact, the headline will
read: "Current first time claims are up 6,000 over last week,"
when the true headline is this: "Initial reports for first time
claims are up 11,000 over the initial reports for June 2."
June 9 - 386,000 new claims/ This initial report
will be moved up to near 390,000, this time next week . . . . .
that is the pattern.
June 2 - 377,000 - adjusted up to 380,000
with the June 9 report.
May 2012
May 26 - 383, 000 revised up by 6,000 to 389,000
revised up 65 out of last 66 weeks.
May 19 - initial report is 370,000 - revised up
3,000 to 373,000.
May 12 - initial report 370,000 , adjusted up to
372,000 (63 out 64 weeks this adjustment has been higher than its initial
report)
May 5 - first report is 367,000 - revised with
the May 17 report to 370,000
April 2012
April 28 - first report is 365,000 ---
adjusted up to 368,000 with the May 3 report
April 21 _ first report for week ending on
the 21st, is 388,00 - the same initial report as last week's. An
adjustment [upward ?] will occur with next Thursdays report. This was
adjust up to 392,000.
April 14 - first report is 388,000 to be
adjusted next Thursday. Adjust number is 389,000
April 7 : first report is 380,000 off an
estimate of 359,000. This number was adjusted up to 388,000 !!!
March 2012
March 31: first report was 357,000 but was
adjusted upwards by 10,000 to 367,000
March 24 (week ending) -- 359,000,
adjusted up 11,000 from the first report of the week before.
March 17 - 348,000 as a first report. This
will be adjusted up to 350,000 to 352,000 by next Thursday (3/29). With
the March 24 First Report, we find out that the week ending 3/17 missed
the the truth completely/ Instead of 348,000, the final report was
364,000 or 16,000 off the mark.
March 10 - 351,000 as a first report. We
expect this number to be revised to 354,000. It was adjusted to 353,000, 000
March 3 (week ending) First report 362,000
- adjusted upward to 365,000
February 2012
Feb 25 - 351,000 before weekly
adjustment - 3,000 higher than the initial report of Feb 11. --
This week was adjusted up to 354,000
Feb 18 - 355,000 before weekly adjustment
(supposedly, the weekly adjustment was 353,000)
Feb 11 355, 000 after adjustment (originally reported
at 348,000 (?)
Feb 4 361,000 without weekly adjustment
January 2012
Jan 28 367,000 adjusted to 373,000
Jan 21 Adjusted up to 379,00:
initial report was 377,000, an increase of 21,000 or 25,000 higher
than the original report of the 14th.
Jan 14 352,000 first Labor report: (week
ending) first report numbers are 355,000 on Fox, 352,000 from Labor. A 2nd
revision brought this week's number to 356,000
Jan
7 399,000 unadjusted. I expect
this to be 403,000 after revision. The actual adjusted number was 402,000
December 2012
Dec. 31 372,000 unadjusted (this report) .
This was revised to 375,000.
Dec. 24 387,000 adjusted from initial
report of 381,000
Dec. 17 366,000 / first adjust to 364,000
but later reported back to 366,000
Dec. 10 368,000 (I actually do not
remember this report.)
Dec. 3 385,000 adjusted.
June 14, 2012
ReplyDeleteMore than two-thirds of Americans — including half of Republicans — still blame former president George W. Bush for the country's economic ills, according to a new Gallup poll released on Thursday
A BS report by Gallup, pure and simple. For starters, I do not know a single person (Republican or conservative) who blames Bush more than Obama -- not even close.
ReplyDeleteSecondly, Gallup took down all its demographic data as to how it came up with this conclusion. In fact, this is the only time in 4 years I have not been able to confirm or review the methodology for a particular poll.