Here are Obama's two biggest campaign enemies and they are neither issues or people..


Rasmussen, Wednesday, May 02, 2012

With the Republican primary race all but settled, President Obama still holds a slight lead over likely GOP nominee Mitt Romney in combined polling of the key swing states of Florida, North Carolina, Ohio and Virginia.    New Rasmussen Reports telephone surveying of Likely Voters in the so-called Core Four states finds that Obama picks up 46% support to Romney’s 43%. Seven percent (7%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided. (To see survey question wording, click here.) . . . . . . . . . 

Editor notes: 

Understand that a polling advantage is one thing;  turnout is quite another. 

Two things are working against Obama,  besides his own mouth:  the Independent vote and turnout.  You should know that Independents do not make up their minds until just days, sometimes hours,  before the polls open on election day,  and they usually vote for the challenger,  especially if the economy is having serious problems.  

Secondly,  turnout is going to be a real problem for B Hussein.  The enthusiasm level for Obama is around 25% and that is important because "enthusiasm percentages" translate into turnout.    Compare the current 25%  rating to the 48% enthusiasm percentage in 2008 and a 7% victory at the polls,  and you can see the problem.   The enthusiasm level for the GOP is around 35% right now,  but I expect that to increase substantially. 

Romney’s VP choice will be the most critical VP choice in my lifetime.  While many are busy talking down TEA Party influence,  insiders on both sides of the fence know just how important the TEA Party vote is going to be in this election.  If Romney picks an “Establishment” running mate,  we all loose.  But,  there is no one being considered who falls within that classification.  Ayotte, Portman, the New Mexico Governor, Rubio and Paul Ryan are all TEA Party favorites. 

I do not think Romney’s candidacy will kick into high gear before he makes that selection.  Until then,  we will just have to let Obama beat himself --  and, over the past 4 weeks, he has done a bang-up job in that department

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