According to Gallup, in 11 of the 12 so-called "swing states" including Iowa, Colorado, Wisconsin, Florida, Ohio, New Hampshire, Nevada, Michigan, Pennsylvania, North Carolina and Virginia, Obama is only two points up on Romney - a virtual tie. By contrast, he won these states in 2008, 54 to 46. Karl Rove believes the Republican nominee needs to win 6 of these swing states,
Most analysts believe that Ohio and Florida are the most critical. Both states have GOP governors, newly elected in 2010. Nevada is the home state of Hapless Harry. New Hampshire generally votes Democrat but elected a TEA Party candidate, Kelly Ayotte, to the Senate in 2010. Wisconsin is sharply divided over its newly elected GOP Governor, Scott Walker, and his in-state policies for recover. Russ Feingold, Wisconsin's well respected liberal Senator, was surprisingly defeated by his Republican opponent, whose ratings remain solid. Bob McDonnell is the GOP governor of Virginia and is very popular. Tom Corbett is the Republican governor of Pennsylvania and has popular appeal, as well. Colorado is a divided state, but has voted "GOP" in the three of the past four presidential elections. North Carolina is the Democrat choice for their 2012 national convention. The state's Democrat Governor, Bev Perdue announced in January that she would not seek re-election. Her polling numbers are down and many believe she would have lost the gubernatorial election in 2012, if she had decided to run. Rick Synder, the newly elected Republican Governor of Michigan, is having much the same problems as Scott Walker, in Wisconsin and is polling with the lowest approval numbers in the nation. The state's media and public unions have united to oppose the newly elected GOP majority and its governor. Iowa is a red state with a popular GOP governor that voted for Obama in 2008.
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