The following is a review of where we have been, where we are going, and a startling prediction as to the 2016 election ~ John Smithson
In the 2008 campaign, Obama organized much of the nation's collegiate youth, as never before, with more than 13,000 young adults manning phone centers, calling and emailing targeted populations in a "get out the vote" effort. In the end, the conservative rebellion against John McCain coupled with collegiate and Millennial support, spelled victory for the Slickster.
As early as January, 2010, however, political analysts were beginning to realize that a shift away from Obama was taking place.* The political coalition some call Gentry Liberalism, that brought Obama to power along with the Black vote, was turning away from their representative.
In the 2008 campaign, Obama organized much of the nation's collegiate youth, as never before, with more than 13,000 young adults manning phone centers, calling and emailing targeted populations in a "get out the vote" effort. In the end, the conservative rebellion against John McCain coupled with collegiate and Millennial support, spelled victory for the Slickster.
As early as January, 2010, however, political analysts were beginning to realize that a shift away from Obama was taking place.* The political coalition some call Gentry Liberalism, that brought Obama to power along with the Black vote, was turning away from their representative.
While class warfare was featured, Obama preaching hate for Big Banking while being sympathetic to the lower class, the fact of the matter was this: he embraced Big Money while courting the have-nots, leaving out the middle class and hard working America.
By the end of 2010, the volunteer army that had worked faithfully for his 2008 campaign, had all but disappeared, never to return. More than this, Obama, Pelosi and Reid managed to squander the political power and opportunity given to them with super majorities in both the House and the Senate, and, 2010 came to an end with but two major pieces of legislation, ObamaCare and the Dodd/Frank "too big to fail" banking reform bill and a historic midterm election debacle.
But, well before the disastrous midterms, analysts who understand such things, realized that "Gentry liberalism was in full retreat, a victim of its [own] hypocrisy and fundamental contradictions."
On January 27, 2010, Obama gave his first State of the Union Address. People listened, but the wheels were already coming off his political machine. Scott Brown had just won election (end of 2009) to Ted Kennedy's long held Senate seat in Massachusetts; the Supreme Court had judged in favor of corporate America (Jan 26, 2010), giving rise to the reality that "corporations are people too," and the teaparty was gaining momentum, gathering as many as two million in a September (2009) a demonstration in D.C.
By November of 2010 and the midterms, Obama's agenda and political machine was in disarray. The Gentry Liberal coalition, made up of affluent greenies, the major national media, Progressive elements on Wall Street, and the public employee unions, was loosing its hold over the domestic agenda. Van Jones, a member of Obama's cabinet, abandoned his effort to organize Occupy into a national party, as that "movement," made up of an undisciplined, drug infested sub-culture, simply faded away.
In the midterm elections of November, 2010, the first critical test for the continuance of the Obama Agenda, failed. Obama and his dissident "majority," suffered a historical defeat in those midterm elections, loosing the House to the GOP, and 5 seats in the seat, bringing an end to the Super Majority "Party of the People." So goes a review of 2009/2010.
The momentum of the Patriot Nation, Sarah Palin's strong influence combining with Michele Bachmann, and a host of citizen jouralists and "combatants," was proving to be unstoppable.
Indeed, Obama won his 2012 re-election bid. Benghazi lies and the criminally secured, health care bill so many laughingly call ObamaCare, were successfully moved to the "back burner" by Obama and his agenda of misinformation won him a second term.
By the end of 2014, Americans realized that Dodd/Frank meant nothing to the middle class, and ObamaCare had been sold to them based on a number of lies never seen before, in American politics.
The day following the historic 2014 midterm elections, Morley Winograd, a former aide to VP Alvin Gore, speaking of the Obama coalition, angrily leveled this charge: “They (the Obama faction) have not discussed the economy and have no real program. They are offering the middle class nothing.” ( Joel Kotkin, at Forbes here, Nov 5, 2014).
Today, as I write, the Democrat Progressive Party is in as sad a state of affairs, as has not been seen since the 1920's, post Woodrow Wilson. Understand, that Wilson, a two term Progressive (1913 - 1921), did more for the Progressive Movement in this country than any president in our history, and that arguably includes FDR, JBJ, or B Obama, an impostor Progressive by comparison.
What Wilson was able to pass into law, is startling. The Federal Reserve, the progressive income tax, anti-trust legislation and the 19th Amendment, the Right to Vote, were all part of his time in office. In spite of these monumental changes, by the end of his second term, his successor, Warren Harding, a conservative Republican, won his election bid by the widest margin in our history, defeating a man named Cox, by a 60 to 34% margin. While Harding was a net-zero as a short-lived president, the point, here, is his magnitude of his election victory and the overwhelming disgust of the population, at the end of the Wilson/Progressive era.
It will be interesting to see if that post Progressive Wilson election, has a parallel in 2016. Time will tell, but, such is certainly possible.
What Wilson was able to pass into law, is startling. The Federal Reserve, the progressive income tax, anti-trust legislation and the 19th Amendment, the Right to Vote, were all part of his time in office. In spite of these monumental changes, by the end of his second term, his successor, Warren Harding, a conservative Republican, won his election bid by the widest margin in our history, defeating a man named Cox, by a 60 to 34% margin. While Harding was a net-zero as a short-lived president, the point, here, is his magnitude of his election victory and the overwhelming disgust of the population, at the end of the Wilson/Progressive era.
It will be interesting to see if that post Progressive Wilson election, has a parallel in 2016. Time will tell, but, such is certainly possible.
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* Joel Kitkin, Jan. 26 of 2010; Forbes, here.
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