There may be hundreds of failed environmental crisis predictions. Here are several failed examples. File under :"It ain't global warming if it ain't global."

1.) Scientists predicted in 2000 that kids would grow up without snow. It was 14 years ago now when UK climate scientists argued that global warming would make snowfall a “a very rare and exciting event”. . . . . .    After the wettest winter in 248 years, the UK was hit with snowstorms last week.

2.) It’s been 10 years since scientists predicted the “end of skiing” in ScotlandAn article from the UK’s Guardian in 2004 quoted scientists and environmentalists predicting the demise of Scotland’s winter sports industry, including more remarks from Dr. David Viner, who had already predicted the end of snow in Britain. . . . . .   Scottish mountains may be their snowiest since 1945.

3.) The Arctic would be “ice-free” by now. “Some of the models suggest that there is a 75 percent chance that the entire north polar ice cap, during some of the summer months, could be completely ice-free within the next five to seven years,” Gore said in 2008.
Gore was echoing the predictions made by American scientist Wieslaw Maslowsk in 2007, who said that “you can argue that may be our projection of [an ice-free Arctic by 2013] is already too conservative.”
But in 2013, Arctic sea ice coverage was up 50 percent from 2012 levels. Data from Europe’s Cryosat spacecraft showed that Arctic sea ice coverage was nearly 2,100 cubic miles by the end of this year’s melting season, up from about 1,400 cubic miles during the same time last year

3.b)    [Gore also predicted 20 feet of sea water covering NY City by 2015.  Anyone still that is going to happen?]

4.) Environmentalists predicted the end of spring snowfall. In March 2013, the Union of Concerned Scientists predicted that warmer springs would mean declines in snow cover.
“Warmer, earlier springs are a clear signal of a changing climate,” the group said. “March temperatures have grown 2.1 degrees (F) hotter, on average, in the United States since reliable record-keeping began in 1880s.  [Note: this translate to a rise in temp of 1.5 degrees per century ~blog Editor].    Similarly, the first leaves have started appearing on plants several days earlier than they used to across the country.” [telling us that the temp rise has simply extended the growing season by a few days ~blog Editor]
But the record levels of snowfall to hit this year may have caught UCS off guard. On Monday, the U.S. east coast was hit with a massive snowstorm that stretched for 1,300 miles and those in the Baltimore-D.C. area were hit with a 141-year record cold of 4 degrees Fahrenheit on Tuesday morning.
“Many places tied or broke record lows all over the Eastern half of the U.S.,” reported CBS Baltimore.

5.) The end of skiing.
 Ski towns across the country were worried about their prospects when temperatures temporarily rose up into 50s and 60s in early February. Scientists were fanning the flames by predicting that winter towns could see more hardships ahead due to global warming.
“There’s going to be good years and there’s going to be god-awful years,” said Terry Root, senior fellow at the Stanford Woods Institute for the Environment. “The globe is warming so rapidly, and variability is increasing so much – both of those things together, I’m glad I don’t have stock in ski areas.”
But this year has not been all that bad for winter towns. The town of Loveland, Colorado got more than 300 inches of snow this winter, reports CBS Denver, adding that with “snow continuing to pile up at ski areas many are putting this winter in their top 10.” For Loveland, 300 inches is still below normal, but a far cry from the end of snowy winters.

6.)  Acid rain was going to defoliate the world's forests.  

7.)  The loss of the Ozone layer was going to see us sun-burn ourselves to death. 

8.)  Katrine (2005) was the beginning of  decades of catastrophic weather events in the Gulf.  We have not had a single major storm (level 3 or higher) reach land, in the the Gulf,  since 2005.  

Parts of the world are getting warmer.  Other regions,  such as the North American Continent, are stable or cooling.  I always say,  "It ain't global warming if it ain't global."  

2 comments:

  1. Smithson ... the short sighted regressive that he is, always references isolated incidences, single season events, etc... This shows a basic misunderstanding. Smithson is willfully ignorant and misinformed. He contradicts his own statements ... saying 'get politics out of science' then he quotes a politician falsely on climate change.

    The facts of the larger picture show the ignorance of Smithson... time and time again... while he grasps at straws and statements of Al Gore. The Climate scientists predictions have been realized... and then some.

    The IPCC climate predictions have proven too conservative - they have consistently underestimated real-world observations

    This is from 2012....

    Projection: The IPCC 2007 assessment projected a worst-case temperature rise of 4.3° to 11.5° Fahrenheit, with a high probability of 7.2°F.

    Reality: We are currently on track for a rise of between 6.3° and 13.3°F, with a high probability of an increase of 9.4°F by 2100, according to the Massachusetts Institute of Technology. Other modelers are getting similar results, including a study published earlier this month by the Global Carbon Project consortium confirming the likelihood of a 9ºF rise.

    Projection: In the 2001 report, the IPCC projected a sea rise of 2 millimeters per year. The worst-case scenario in the 2007 report, which looked mostly at thermal expansion of the oceans as temperatures warmed, called for up to 1.9 feet of sea-level-rise by century's end.

    Reality: Observed sea-level-rise has averaged 3.3 millimeters per year since 1990. By 2009, various studies that included ice-melt offered drastically higher projections of between 2.4 and 6.2 feet sea level rise by 2100.

    Projection: In 1995, IPCC projected "little change in the extent of the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets… over the next 50-100 years." In 2007 IPCC embraced a drastic revision: "New data… show[s] that losses from the ice sheets of Greenland and Antarctica have very likely contributed to sea level rise over 1993 to 2003."

    Reality: Today, ice loss in Greenland and Antarctica is trending at least 100 years ahead of projections compared to IPCC's first three reports.

    Projection: The IPCC has always confidently projected that the Arctic ice pack was safe at least until 2050 or well beyond 2100.

    Reality: Summer ice is thinning faster than every climate projection, and today scientists predict an ice-free Arctic in years, not decades. Last summer, Arctic sea ice extent plummeted to 1.32 million square miles, the lowest level ever recorded – 50 percent below the long-term 1979 to 2000 average.


    http://www.dailyclimate.org/tdc-newsroom/2012/12/ipcc-prediction-fact-check

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  2. Bla, bla, bla. I have written plenty on this subject and you have failed to counter a single issue. And CO2 is food for plants, trees, and our food supply . . . CO2. More CO2? So, maybe we can grow more food, manage larger forests, and celebrate an abundance of plant life, in general . . . . . after all, CO2 is food for our food source.

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