Obama cannot
win re-election if this particular poll result remains constant through
election day.
In
1980, Walter Mondale lost to Ronald
Reagan in one of the most one sided election of all time. I believe Mondale won just one state. Mondale’s approval with the white working
class was 31%. Today, with nearly 10% fewer whites voting (but
still more than 70% of the electorate), Obama’s
rating with white men is 26%.
A few
months ago, this supposed “campaign
genius” let it be known that he was
ignoring the white working class male for this campaign year. Before this is all said and done, this bigoted Novice may wish he had never
made this strategy a matter of public knowledge.
He doesn’t
care for the good old boys of this nation,
but he is not going to win without them. Understand that when he was talking about the "clingers," he was talking about the white working class.
Read about the details of the Quinnipiac poll here.
Obama is killing Romney in the largest voting block - women, also with black and hispanic. Look at the electoral map... who would you put your money on?
ReplyDeleteYou could learn something from this pollster instead of being a reactionary hogsniffer:
ReplyDelete"If you read the evidence selectively, it will be remarkably easy to find a favorable flow of news for your candidate at any given time. But usually you’ll be putting too much weight into the importance of some factors while ignoring others that contradict your story. There just hasn’t been much change in the race since Mr. Romney wrapped up the Republican nomination.
But our presidential forecast was unmoved – literally. It gives Mr. Obama a 66.1 percent chance of being re-elected, exactly the same number as on Tuesday. Why no change?
The reason is pretty simple: the polls were broadly in line with the model’s previous expectations, which had Mr. Obama as a seven-point favorite in Wisconsin, for instance, and five points ahead in Pennsylvania.
There were also polls out in Maine and New Mexico, states that sometimes get talked up as battlegrounds, but really aren’t. The model already had Mr. Obama ahead by 14 points and by 12 points in those states.
Mr. Obama should be pleased with Wednesday’s polls in one sense. The polls no more than match the model’s expectations. But the model has Mr. Obama a little bit ahead in the national race, putting him up by around two points in the popular vote over Mr. Romney and projecting him to 294 electoral votes to Mr. Romney’s 244."
The election is on track to a majorly one-sided election in favor of the GOP at all levels.
ReplyDeleteObama's numbers are up with single women, but only 35% of them vote. He is being crushed with married women and 60% of these folks vote.
blacks will vote 95% for Obama. Problem: between 7 and 10 percent FEWER blacks have registered to vote.
His numbers are down with Hispanics, young adults, white middle class blue collar types, white Catholics, and married women.
Heck, 9% of Republicans voted for this impostor. That won't happen again.
Polls do not count when the numbers do not confirm, and they do not. In fact, most polls showing Obama in a lead, poll 7% more Democrat voters than Republican - so keep believing these bogus surveys.