The black vote may be the very thing that sinks Obama's chances for re-election.

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African Americans “don’t have to vote for [Romney]” to help his campaign, said broadcaster and author Earl Ofari Hutchinson.

“An abstention from the polls is effectively a vote for Romney,” he said. “If there is only a minuscule drop-off [in turnout], it will spell trouble.”  You should read the full article at The Hill,  here.  Very interesting. 

You should know that it is not reasonable to be believe that Obama’s “new” position on gay marriage will,  without doubt,  cost him votes in the black community.  Understand that any and all polling information coming from that constituency,  is tainted.  Blacks not voting for Obama,  for the most part,  will be afraid to admit this,  openly  --  but their move away from Obama is both apparent and substantial  (effecting 20% in some key states and 7 to 10 percent, nationally).   Obama won North Carolina by half a percentage point in 2008 on the strength of a huge black turnout.   That will not happen again.  In the key state of Virginia,  he won by 6 points,  again,  on the basis of a huge black turnout.  Since 2008,  that state has turned to the GOP (2010 midterms) and no longer appears to be on track to vote for Obama’s re-election. 

Point of post:  Obama has greatly damaged his standing within the Black Community and this will cost him votes in 2012,  enough, in fact,  to lose two or three states.