Gallup, today,
shows Mitt Romney up by 47 to 45 percent, well within the margin of
error, but, still, showing Romney trending up and away from
Obama.
More importantly,
Gallup has Independents moving toward Romney in droves - today, for
the first, Romney is polling ahead of Obama 45 to 39 percent. They
(the Independents) voted for the GOP 55 to 39 percent in the 2010 mid-term
elections.
A third consideration is
the fact that the male vote is running 14 % in favor of Romney. That is a
very important consideration, because men vote with 3 times
the frequency as women.
In related news,
it is common knowledge that the Obama campaign has decided to turn its
focus away from the typical blue collar worker.
All pretense of
trying to win a majority of the white working class has been effectively
jettisoned in favor of cementing a center-left coalition made up, on the one
hand, of voters who have gotten ahead on the basis of educational attainment...
and a second, substantial constituency of lower-income voters who are
disproportionately African-American and Hispanic,' longtime political reporter Thomas
B. Edsall wrote in an opinion piece in the New York Times. Read
more: http://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-2067223/President-Obamas-2012-campaign-abandons-white-working-class-voters-favor-minorities-educated.html#ixzz1sK8AuzaW
Never before, have we
seen an election strategy anywhere close to Obama's. Clearly, he
believes that it is time to campaign against traditional America, whether
middle class or the business community. Obama has chosen to demonize the
Catholic Church with its 60 million members; the TEA party with its 30
million members and sympathetic attendees; the millions within the small
business community; big Banking with its billions of dollars in reserves;
and the oil industry with its control over the price at the pump.
Such a strategy, to which "we" say, bring
it on.
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Consider this...
ReplyDeleteAssuming that Obama wins all the states that have been won by every Democrat for the last 20 years, including both Gore and Kerry (242 electoral votes) and Romney wins all the states that McCain won in 2008 (180 electoral votes), that leaves 10 states: CO, FL, IA, IN, NC, NH, NM, NV, OH, VA (116 electoral votes). With those ten states, there are 1,024 possible combinations (2^10 = 1,024). Out of these 1,024 scenarios, Obama wins 939 of them (91.7%) and Romney wins 85 of them (8.3%). All 85 scenarios require Mitt Romney to win Florida, a state in which Obama leads according to all the latest polls, including +7 points in the latest Quinnipiac poll and +3 points in the latest Rasmussen poll.”
Game over...
Anything is possible. When I run the demographic (numbers, not percentages), Obama loses the popular vote by 8 to 12 million. Of course, it is the electoral vote that counts. Ohio's history makes it the most important as a predictor. Florida is a key state, of course, but Obama is not in good shape in that state. Time will tell, but if this election goes the way of the mid-terms, Obama and the socialist one worlders in running around the the Hill (like roaches) will be gone.
ReplyDeleteExcuse me? Obama is not in good shape in FL? Romney has little chance in FL with the way the GOP has alienated Latinos.
ReplyDeleteComplete nonsense. Just remember we had this little disagreement.
ReplyDelete