Midknight Review -- new and revised: Intrade shows Obama losing the November election.

I took this article in its entirety from Kids Prefer Cheese (a blog), posted by Angus. Angus and his bud, Mungowitz are libertarians, writing a an innovative blog. Here, they give good reason to predict the defeat of B Obama in November. . . . . . . a prediction made five months ago, back in October of 2011. Today, Intrade has Obama at 60% with regard to his re-election. Which is it? Will the conditions that drove Obama's numbers down in October, now give him relief? Time will tell.

On Intrade this morning, Obama's re-election probability is 47.9%, which is the low point for this contract:

This low-ish probability of re-election is now in line with what my main man Doug Hibbs has been predicting via his "Bread & Peace" model, namely Obama loses (Hibbs is predicting 46.2% of the vote for Obama):

(clic the pics for a more Romnian view)

Hibbs has been predicting an Obama loss since May, which is when the Intrade Obama contract peaked at 70% (due to his RIP OBL bounce).

All hail the Stormin' Mormon?

The Stated Nonsense from the Left now includes these Progressive goals:

July 2, 2008, Obama had this to say: "We cannot continue to rely only on our military in order to achieve the national security objectives that we've set. We've got to have a civilian national security force that's just as powerful, just as strong, just as well-funded."

MICHELLE OBAMA: "Barack knows that we are going to have to make sacrifices; we are going to have to change our conversation; we're going to have to change our traditions, our history; we're going to have to move into a different place as a nation."

“ . . . . . . they have become a generation of activists possessed with that most American of ideas – that people who love their country can change it.” -- Obama the Radical

On September 30, Van Jones told MSNBC "I think everybody should hold onto your seats. October is going to be the turning point when it comes to the progressive fight back."

Midknight Review -- new and revised

Intrade shows Obama losing the November election.

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