With today's report, we have his approval number dropping to a seven day average of 49.57% , nearly a half point down from last report.
What brought his numbers down?
This might surprise some, especially if one gets her news from the so called Major Media, but it was the response to his State of the Union speech. Two days following that speech, his daily approval number fell from 52% to 47% - a five point drop.
Turns out folks did not like that speech. What does this portend for the future?
Well, an extrapolation from this single event give us a president who has lost the power of the bully pulpit. He would be better off to govern more and talk much much less. Who believes him? The fact of the matter is this, he has no new ideas if we count "new" as "innovative" and the emptiness of his State of the Union is confirmation of our point.
I do not believe that presidential approval history can be fully separated from the voters feel for the state of the union. Currently, the state of our union is improving and while Obama claims responsibility for that change of circumstance, the majority of voters now believe that he has precious little to do with the economic rebound. After all, only 3% of the money allocated in the 2009 Stimulus bill went to "infrastructure and contracts" and half of that total was spent on waist, fraud and administration costs.
Our point, once again, is that Obama's Stimulus did next to nothing to create jobs and few buy into that "saved or created" nonsense.
This editor believes that the improving Obama numbers would not translate into an increased vote count [for Obama] should the election be held today. Michael Barone, the king of Democrat analysis, gives us this related observation:
Overall, Democrats carried the popular vote for the House in 15 states with 182 electoral votes in 2012; add three more for the District of Columbia. Democrats were within 5 percent of Republicans in House elections in five more states with 52 electoral votes. That gets Democrats up to 237 electoral votes, 33 votes shy of the 270-vote majority and 128 short of the 365 electoral votes Obama won in 2008 (cf the larger article here).
Of course, we are light years away from the 2012 elections. But, as things stand with this writing, things are not looking good for the Obama political machine.
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