GOP House hopes are way up; Obama approval numbers are way down. Conclusion: all is good.

If we were to ask, "Anyone ever heard of Scott Rasmussen?" most of the readership would say, "No." So, who is Scott Rasmussen? Scott is a conservative/Christian pollster, one of the most dependable pollsters, in fact, in these United States. He is the man many politicians turn to for their polling information. Gallup, another polling entity, but one of left leaning views (not radical left, however) is a second very dependable firm, proving that folks on both sides of the aisle can be objective to their chosen assignment. Why journalists can't figure that out is a mystery, but it can and does happen,

At any rate, Rasmussen is important in this morning news coverage because he has just released his prediction for the GOP as relates to the House of Representatives. They need 39 net seats to take control of the House; he is predicting they will gain 55 seats. Why is Rasmussen's report important? Because he was the first to predict a Scott Brown victory in Massachusetts AND, the first to alert the media as to the sad electoral state of affairs for Arlen Specter.

Point of post: in the 16 days remaining before election day, this blog will be paying more attention to the polls, nationally and regionally. Our initial reports will be dealing with trends more than actual numbers. In the closing days of this election cycle, numbers will become quite important, as well.

For example: in reference to "trends," Barack Obama's numbers on a daily basis may fluctuate 4 or 5 points from one day to the next. Today, his approval rating is 47%, up from a 43% the day before. If we concentrate of that contrast, we may lose sight of the real news which is this, Obama shows no signs of moving up on the approval scale in the long run. Rather than look to the day by day results, Midknight Review is more concerned with 7 and 14 day averages. As an example of that, the past 7 days look like this: 48, 47,46,45,44,43 and today, back to 47%. Together, these numbers give us a 7 day average of 45.7% for an approval rating. Compare this to the previous 7 days: 48, 48, 48, 46,47,48,49 for a 47.7% average. As you can see, the trending for Obama, since he began seriously campaigning two weeks ago, shows an American electorate NOT impressed. A two point drop in his averages is rather extreme. We believe that this most recent fall from grace is more related to his campaign rhetoric than to the over-all opinion on his job performance which remains, on average, at around 46.4% using Rasmussen numbers.
Conclusion: Rasmussen's prediction for a GOP victory in the House is based on survey trends and is of great value for that reason. Further, Obama is in deep do-do, polling wise, and survey trends in all major polls evidence this to be true, as well.

In closing out this post, we leave you with our response to all this news: he he he