Here is the political shocker of the day: Scott Brown has taken a 4 point lead over Democrat Matha Coakley. Two weeks ago he was down 15 points.

Update: before reading on, keep in mind that Democrats out number Republicans by a margin of 3 to 1 in Massachusetts. Also, expect the Dems to do all they can to get the health care bill past its final hurdles before this election on Tuesday -- another bad sign for Coakley. (6:37 am - 1/15/2010)

Editor's opinion:
This special election is one of the most interesting in recent memory. A month ago, Scott Brown, a Massachusetts State Senator, was running behind Martha Coakley by 15 points. A week ago, Rasmussen had Brown within 2 points. The first poll following the recent debate between these two aspiring politicians placed Brown on top by a single point and today, just 46 minutes ago, the Suffolk University Political Research Center had Mr. Brown up by 4 points. One cannot over state the importance of this circumstance for the 2010 campaign season. Perhaps this is the reason why Obama has refused to campaign for Coakley, hiding behind the notion that he is too busy dealing with the health care bill rather than campaigning for a failed candidate. Today, he met with House Democrats and in that fact, we have a little insight as to what is going on behind closed doors -- for the past three weeks. As it turns out, Obama is having problems with the pro-life Dems in the House.

While he does have a serious problem in Congress with regard to the health care reform bill and those pesky pro-lifers, if the Massachusetts' election gets away from the Democrats, a seat held by that party since 1952, the ramifications could be far worse for Obama and his socialist Democrat Party than a simple failure with the health care bill. The Dems have not be able to get enough in-state volunteers to influence the election for Coakley and have had to import "volunteers" from out of state; members of Obama's civilian army -- ACORN and SEIU. If Brown beats this increased opposition, an unbelievable circumstance, Obama could lose the health care bill as well and suffer dearly in the mid-term election. Ah !! So much for wishful thinking. We had our hopes up for the NY23rd special election, also. Here are the startling results of this most recent Massachusetts poll:

BOSTON--(BUSINESS WIRE)--

Likely voters in the Bay State have turned expectations upside down as Republican State Sen. Scott Brown (50 percent) now leads Democrat Attorney General Martha Coakley (46 percent) in the race to be the next U.S. senator from Massachusetts, according to a Suffolk University/7News poll. Independent candidate Joseph L. Kennedy -- no relation to the legendary Kennedy clan -- had 3 percent, with 1 percent undecided.

“Although the results show a race within the statistical margin of error, Scott Brown has surged dramatically,” said David Paleologos, director of the Suffolk University Political Research Center. “He is attracting independent support by a wide margin and even winning some Democrats who won’t vote the party line this time.”

Statistical breakdown

  • Among men, Brown led Coakley 55 percent to 41 percent but trailed among women 50 percent to 45 percent.
  • Seventy-eight percent of registered Democrats preferred Coakley, while 91 percent of registered Republicans and 65 percent of independents favored Brown.
  • Brown led in most areas of the state, except Suffolk County, where Coakley crushed Brown 69 percent to 31 percent.
  • Brown (57 percent favorable to 19 percent unfavorable) was viewed more positively than Coakley (49 percent favorable to 41 percent unfavorable).
Source: Check out the full report here.

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