Showing posts with label 2014 midterm projections. Show all posts
Showing posts with label 2014 midterm projections. Show all posts

The Democrat/Socialist Party has never been in as much elective trouble as it is, today. Here is evidence of this fact:


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<<<<   The most recent PEW Research survey,   185 days before the midterm elections,  confirms a huge, almost record setting, swing in voting preferences,  from Socialist Democrat to Republican,  a swing of  of 15 points !   

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Update:  42% of Republicans are more enthusiastic than usual,  about 2014 while only 32% of Democrats voice enthusiasm for voting in the coming elections.
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I cannot count the number of times I have written,  "Obama just may prove to be the worst thing to hit the Democrat in decades." With polling results such as PEW,  we  may be looking at a fulfillment of that anecdotal prediction.  

As things stand today,  and,  of course, all of these numbers can change, radically,  in the coming months,  but,  as things stand today,  preference voting for Republicans versus Democrats,  is 47% to 43%.  

How bad is this news,  for Democrats?    Seven months before the landslide/referendum elections of 2010,  the populace was evenly divided 44% to 44%.  

Today and again,  five months before the November midterms,  that number is  47 to 43 percent with 26% of the populace,  voting "against the president"  more than any other single consideration,   making his actions between now and this coming November,  a major factor.   In 2010,  when conservatives took back the House and "flipped" 800 local, state and gubernatorial seats to "GOP,"  only 20% of those voting were doing so in response to their thinking about Obama.  Again,  today,  that number is 26%.  

Of course,  the only poll that means anything,  is what happens "at the polls" in November.  Understand,   that this editor (that would be me) honestly believed that Romney would win in 2012,  and win in a convincing way.  I had plenty of Left Leaning polling data to justify that belief, but,  in the end,  I was wrong.  

On that score,  Nate Silver,  a big time Left Leaning pollster, was the only major polling concern that predicted an Obama, 2012 victory and,  as things turned out,  he was correct in his predictions and as accurate with his percentages as a pollster can hope to be.  This season,  Nate Silver is on record as believing that the GOP will keep the House and pick up 6 to 11 seats in the Senate.  

Of course,  no one should start dancing in the streets,  but Silver's numbers confirm that the Left is fully aware of just how bad things look for them.  

Expect the Left/Socialist cabal,  in power for the first time since  FDR,  to come out swinging,  to be as nasty as "nasty" gets,  to pile lie upon lie,  to do everything possible to mitigate what is predicted.  Understand this:  the Left is not just fighting for survival in 2014;  2016 is very much in doubt as well.  

The Right needs to win elections.  We will,  in 2014,  and,  we must,  in 2016.  

Seven nagging reasons to worry about the coming mid-term elections, if you are a Progressive/Socialist Democrat:

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Seven nagging reasons to worry about the coming mid-term elections, if you are a Progressive/Socialist Democrat:   


  1. GOP voters are more driven to vote in 2014 than Democrats.  49% of Republicans say they plan to vote while only 44% of Dems plan to do the same.  
  2. 55% of Independents say said they plan to vote  "GOP,"   while only 32% intend to vote for  Democrats.
  3. Not mentioned in the polling information,  as a separate entity,  is the conservative,  teaparty related contingency:  95% of this group (some 7 million folks),  plan to vote and all will vote "GOP."   
  4. The sad shape of the economy, is another reason for Democrats to worry.  Only 28% of those polled,  believe the economy is improving,  How much of an effect this percentage will have on the elections,  is unknown,  but if it moves individual elections by just 5%,  a landslide election cycle could be on the horizon.  
  5. As many know or believe,  "Independents" often turn an election. As things stand, today,  only 22% of Independents believe the economy is in recovery.   
  6. Barack Obama, himself,  is a major issue.  In an ABC/WaPost poll,  has his 41% approval rating at the lowest in 5 years.  And Obama polling gets even worse when categories are considered:  Obama on healthcare reform scores only 37% approval;  Crimea/Russia sees Obama numbers at 34% and more than 70% of Americans believe Obama lies,  at least on occasion.   
  7. And, ObamaCare, itself, maybe enough of a negative influence to turn the midterms into a rout.  Every major reason for healthcare reform was a lie  . . .  without exception,  and that is common knowledge with the electorate.   Only 44% of American's actually support ObamaCare the way it is,  today

Point of post:  There are so many reasons for rejecting Democrat rule and its associated tyranny,  the above 7 points being only a few.  

7 months after the ObamaCare roll-out, Democrat polling numbers are as bad as ever.

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<<<<  2014 midterms could look a lot like this.  Obama told "us," to "go win an election if you don't like my policies."  We did (2010) and we just might do it again.  

When surveyed on the issue of “right track – wrong track,”  the latest Washington Post/ABC poll shows 66% of Americans believe the nation is on the wrong track.  And,  despite a more positive view of the Democrat Party,  18% of those surveyed blame “Obama and the Democrats in Congress” compared to only 6% blaming the GOP.   Understand that 18 to 6 is a 3 to 1 ratio,  or,  to put it differently, three times as many folks blame the Dems (and especially H Obama) as blame the GOP.  

As to the handling of the Russian/Ukraine crisis,  only 34% believe Obama is effectively handling that issue. 

Surprisingly,  only 37% believe ObamaCare has effective presidential leadership. 

Clearly,  this poll,  taken over the past several days,  proves the ineffectiveness of all the recent Obama trash talking as he continues with “blame game politics.”  This is the end of April.  By September,  thinking heads tell us the electorate,  statistically speaking,  has decided on their voting preferences. after September,  the political wars will be for less than 5% of the voting population.  We are four months removed from that time of year . . . . . . . .  bad news for the Dems.  What you may not realize is this:  all of these numbers are worse than those recorded in the months before the 2010 midterms.   While nothing is written in stone,  still,  all of this news,  confirmed in the Left Leaning media,  is bad news for the Dems,  a critical fact at a time when donors are making decisions to spend or wait until the 2016 cycle.   

For what it is worth,  I do not believe that Boehner and his mouth can or will effect the midterm elections.  The ‘non-presidential” elections (aka “midterms”) are nothing less than a huge number of local elections.  All 435 House representatives are up for election/re-elections as well as approximately 33 Senators.  With no one in the mix running for president,  midterms are,  typically,  a referendum on the sitting president and the effectiveness/likability of the individual representatives. 

If the  “recovery” remains “jobless,”  if part-time employment continues to grow at a faster rate than full time employment,  if minimum wage jobs continue to increase at a 2 to 1 ratio over better paying jobs,  if ObamaCare continues to be a negative and if Obama’s foreign policy continues its implosion,  the 2014 midterms could be historic in terms of its one-sidedness. 


All we can do is hope for the best.  

As an aside and to make matters worse,  we have this brief review of  Democrat/Obama numbers:  

Since 2009, Obama has suffered a 39% overall decline in his key strengths.  But more importantly, the president has suffered a 9% decline since the election in 2012.  He now is at the same levels as his first midterm election in 2010 when the Democrats suffered crushing defeats that saw Republicans take away 6 governorships, 6 Senate seats, and 63 House of Representative seats  (not to mention 800 state and local elections that "flipped" for the GOP ~ editor).  


Truth Alert: Democrats out spend the GOP opposition by a 2:1 margin when the national media's contributions are taken into account, yet, they pretend that they are poor, naked and blind as a political force.

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Already,  this election cycle (2014), the Democrats have out-spent the GOP/Conservatives, 3 to 2;  $372 million for the Dems versus 279 million for the opposition,  not counting the real-time contributions of the National Media  -  which totals hundreds of millions to the favor of the Socialist/Democrats.  




From Politico:
Sen. Chuck Schumer defended Democrats’ strategy of slamming the billionaire Koch brothers, predicting Monday that the efforts “will work.”
Translation:  Our decision to go after the Koch Brothers is solely a political ploy.  After all,  we sure as heck,  cannot run on our record.

Schumer said recent polling shows 48 percent of Americans recognize the name of the businessmen, who have poured millions into conservative political ads and campaigns.
But their contributions put them [only] at 59th on a list of "big money" contributors.  The top 6 political donors?  Labor and teacher unions represent 6 of the top 10 political donor collective/individuals.
 
“That’ll mean about 90 percent of them will know it [the Koch name] in October,” Schumer said on MSNBC’s “Morning Joe” on Monday. “We also have to have a shield that protects us from these ads. And I think the Koch brother thing will work.”
Again,  Democrats are using the Koch Brothers as a "shield" (Schumer's words).  Question:  A "shield" against what?  We all know the answer to that question,  "we" meaning "Conservatives AND  Progressive Socialists."

The New York Democrat brushed off criticism from conservatives that Democrats are trying to suppress the free speech rights of Charles and David Koch with the repeated attacks, including some from Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid calling them “un-American.”
Harry Reid has tabled 160 pieces of legislation coming out of the House.  He has done so without the specific approval of the Senate and continues to act as if he were the dictator/president,  instead of H Obama.  So,  who is "un-American?"

“The Koch brothers aren’t just sitting there innocently on the side,” Schumer said. “They’re spending $40, $50 million in ads that are not focused on their real agenda, which is just eliminating all regulation on corporations, cutting taxes to virtually nothing. And so that demands a response. So I don’t feel sorry for them.”
Again,  the spending habits of the Koch Brothers are far exceeded by the Marxist National Media, alone,  or the labor unions,  alone,  or the national teachers' unions,  alone,  or the contributions of Gates, Steyer, Soros, Bloomberg, Buffett,  all separately and individually "alone," or the combined totals of partisan trial lawyers, alone,  or the efforts of AARP, alone.  

Schumer and his socialist buds are just upset that the GOP/Conservatives have any money at all,  to spend on elections.  

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Supporting sources:

Charted spending totals for past several election cycles:   https://www.opensecrets.org/bigpicture/

Total partisan spending for 2014 elections:  https://www.opensecrets.org/parties/

Gallup rates populace concerns for 15 different categories: healthcare (still) near the top of the list; climate change and race relations at the bottom. Should these be considered a list of election year issues?

I believe the Dems own the top five issues.  The GOP can campaign on these issues,  but the remainder are open for grabs.  If the Democrats can focus the national discussion on the remaining 10 issues, during the campaign cycle (which is here as of the Florida special election,  yesterday),  while minimizing their involvement and failings as to the top five issues,  they have a chance of keeping the coming elections from being as bad as predicted or feared.  Understand that most of the issues,  below,  are abstracts in the mind of the voters.  But unemployment (having no job,  or having to work part-time) and healthcare (having to buy something you cannot afford or having your current policy replaced by something you do not want) are not abstracts,  they are "real" and part of their human experience;  they will vote as these issues dictate, as these issues effect them personally.   


Source:  http://www.gallup.com/poll/167843/climate-change-not-top-worry.aspx

Myth: The Republican stance on the shutdown has destroyed the GOP's chances of holding onto the House: The truth, from a Left Wing media source, is very different.

In Democratic districts, net incumbent approval has plummeted by 11 points, from +8 approval to +3 disapproval. In Republican districts, incumbent approval has gone down only 4 points. You see the same results when they ask a question about warmth of feeling toward incumbents: It's down 7 points in Republican districts and 9 points in Democratic districts.


This isn't good news for Democrats. It's true that attitudes toward the Republican Party have taken a bigger hit than attitudes toward the Democratic Party, but attitudes toward actual incumbents are exactly the opposite. And in elections, that's what matters.  

Editor's notes: Understand that the general numbers for Democrats versus Republicans does not appear to be good for the Republicans.  But,  as is implied in the above statement taken from the survey results,  what really matters is how well a particular candidate fares in a particular district.   

Understand that there are 10 Democrat Senate seats up for re-election in which the Democrat candidate lives in a state won by Mitt Romney in 2012.  

Point of post: In spite of the bad news the Compliant Media is able to foster upon the public,  the GOP appears to hold a strong elective position for the 2014 mid-terms.  In fact,  there is serious concern within the ranks of the Progressive Socialist party,  that they are in "serious trouble" as things stand,  today.  

ObamaCare just might prove to be an overwhelming problem for the Dems in 2014.  And,  because Obama in all is deceptive "wisdom,"  decided to postpone the employer mandate until 2015,  ObamaCare will continue to be huge problem for the Dems.  The Socialists have projected 93 million cancellations coming out of employer mandated compliance,  bringing the total  number of folks angered by ObamaCare to well over 110 million,  IF projections are accurate.  

If all the talk,  however, is proves to be empty rhetoric,  the GOP could lose the House and the Socialists would have what they want,  an opportunity at "one party rule," once again  . . . . . . . . . . .  but without super majorities in either house of congress.