Midknight Review -- new and revised: Thoughts on survey polling versus "snap" polls:

Thoughts on survey polling versus "snap" polls:

"Real polls" add in 10% to 15% more Democrats than Conservatives and then hide behind their typical "+- 3 point margin of error." . Snap polls simply ask "Who won." Snap polls block more-than-once voting habits. Trump wins most if not all snap polls. Nothing wrong with that. Look, if you are adding 15% more Democrats to your polling demographics, because "there are more registered Democrats than Republicans," you are predicting voter turn out. Take that 15% out of the standard polls and Trumps wins almost all of the media surveys, period.

2 comments:

AnonymousOctober 1, 2016 at 1:45 PM
Hahahaha!!! That jump in the polls was just a coincidence.

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John SmithsonOctober 2, 2016 at 7:48 AM
The standard poll is stacked with as many as 15% more Democrats than conservatives. I'd tell you to "do the math," but I forget that your degree is in making music.
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