Update to the chart below. Obama's 2 point lead
evaporated into another tie with the Governor. Shucks !!
With yesterday's chart (August 6), Obama has jumped to a 2 point lead over Romney. It is clear that since the beginning of April, however, Romney has been "up" on Obama with far more frequency than in the converse. This editor believes that if Romney is to break away from Obama, that will not begin to take shape until after the GOP convention (the end of August) and Romney's announcement as to his VP choice.
Certainly, the October debates will play a huge role in the coming election. I predict the three presidential debates to be the most watched in American history. Understand that while interest in this election is high, 94% of the electorate has already made up its mind.
When
tracking the president’s job approval on a daily basis, people sometimes get so
caught up in the day-to-day fluctuations that they miss the bigger picture. To
look at the longer-term trends, Rasmussen Reports compiles the numbers on a
full-month basis. For the full month of July, the president's Total Job Approval
Rating held steady at 47%. Since August of 2009, the president’s first summer
in office, his full-month approval rating has stayed between 44% and 49% every
single month.
For all of 2010, 2011, and 2012, the president’s full-month Job
Approval rating has been at 47% - Scott Rasmussen
More importantly to this editor is the fact that Obama's "strongly approve" numbers have remained half of what they were at the time of his election - a nominal 26%, down from 46% at the time his historic inauguration. It is believed that this number is a measure of the enthusiasm level for B. Obama.
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