Update: In short, if the toss-up states go to Romney, Ohio becomes the single most important state on Carl's map and the coming election. Ohio has 18 electoral votes and Obama is "up" by 14, again, according to Carl Rove.
Carl Rove sees Obama winning the 2012 election, as things stand today. Remember, the electoral college elects our presidents, not the popular vote. That being the case, Obama stands to win 284 electoral votes when only 270 are needs -- according to Carl. This means that states colored "blue" or "light blue" and totaling, at least, 15 electoral votes must move into the Romney column or this nation is permanently screwed. Go to Carl's site for his rationalization as to his conclusions.
I am preparing a similar presentation, for what its worth, but my outcome is different. I had hoped to have this assignment completed two weeks ago, but time has not afforded me the opportunity to complete my appraisal. It is in the works, however.
Keep in mind that Obama won 365 electoral votes in 2008. For Obama to be this far "down" after two years of full time campaigning against no one in particular, is very good news for the Patriot Nation.
Update: we have this from Rasmussen reports:
Obama Still Leads Romney, Santorum in Core Four States (FL, NC, OH, VA) President Obama remains slightly ahead of the Republican front-runners in combined polling of the key swing states Florida, North Carolina, Ohio and Virginia. New Rasmussen Reports telephone surveying finds that Obama picks up 47% of the vote to Romney’s 44%. Six percent (6%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided. That's little changed from a week ago when Obama led Romney 47% to 42%. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
Keep in mind that Obama won 365 electoral votes in 2008. For Obama to be this far "down" after two years of full time campaigning against no one in particular, is very good news for the Patriot Nation.
Update: we have this from Rasmussen reports:
Obama Still Leads Romney, Santorum in Core Four States (FL, NC, OH, VA) President Obama remains slightly ahead of the Republican front-runners in combined polling of the key swing states Florida, North Carolina, Ohio and Virginia. New Rasmussen Reports telephone surveying finds that Obama picks up 47% of the vote to Romney’s 44%. Six percent (6%) prefer some other candidate, and four percent (4%) are undecided. That's little changed from a week ago when Obama led Romney 47% to 42%. (To see survey question wording, click here.)
If Obama lost OH and FL, he would also have to lose all 6 other swing states for Romney to win. Very unlikely.
ReplyDeleteGive up. You're a loser.