"Seasonally adjusted" provides an opportunity for the Administration, any administration, to play games with reality. "Seasonally adjusted" is not a real number, but [only] an estimate of what unemployment (in this case) would be if that number parallels our allowances should seasonal issues not exist. In my opinion, they do not. The government might take a total number on unemployment insurance 3,878,695 and reduce that down to 3,402,000 using a "seasonally adjusted" formula. Regardless of what unemployment benefits enrolled might be when we consider the time of the year, the fact remains that there are 3.8 million folks walking around, this very minute, taking benefits, not 3.4 million. Gallup uses a 30 day "rolling average" to establish its numbers, a far more accurate methodology, after all, we do want to the actual number of people without jobs, no?! -- blog editor.
Gallup tracks daily the percentage of U.S. adults in the workforce, ages 18 and older, who are underemployed, unemployed, and employed full-time for an employer, without seasonal adjustment. "Underemployed" respondents are employed part time, but want to work full time, or they are unemployed. "Unemployed" respondents are those within the underemployed group who are not employed, even for one hour a week, but are available and looking for work. Respondents "Employed Full Time for an Employer" are those who are employed by an employer for at least 30 hours per week. Daily results reflect 30-day rolling averages based on telephone interviews with approximately 30,000 adults. Because results are not seasonally adjusted, they are not directly comparable to numbers reported by the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, which are based on workers 16 and older. Margin of error is ± 1 percentage point.
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64.3%
-0.1
19.1%
+0.1
9.1%
+0.1
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