I do not know much about the Koch brothers, but they are leading a group of very influential, high dollar, individuals united in aggressively working against Barack Obama in the coming election. Mother Jones, a radical Leftist blog, sees the Koch brothers and their "secret meetings," as somehow more insidious than Richard Trumpka's (head of the AFL-CIO) daily visits to/with the White House or George Soros and his million dollar Media Matters conspiracy. You should know that half of the billion dollars raised by Obama in the '08 election has never been revealed. I mention the Koch brothers, here, because they represent millions of dollars in much needed funding in the coming election and a critical demographic. Understand that while the Koch Influence is not new to election politics, it has been greatly increased since 2008. Many in the business community, have turned to the Koch Influence as they register their complaints against the most radical Administration in American history.

In late 2009, less than a year after Obama's inauguration, a Bloomberg survey was taken of Wall Street CEO and business leaders. The conclusion? 77% stated, at that early date, that Obama was anti-business. I believe that he has done nothing to change that collective opinion. Understand that [easily] half of Corporate USA is mildly "progressive." But, before their political views, they are free-market capitalist with regard to their job/business function. They have no choice, seriously. If we combine the "fall off" that exists within that 77 percentage number with the general opinion of the larger voting community, we have a very large demographic working against Obama's re-election that did not exist before.

A second troublesome voting block, that of the Hispanics, is slowly raising its head. 5.5 million Hispanics voted for Obama in his first presidential election. He has lost 30% of that total (1.65 million votes), most of which will convert into "swing voters." Understand that a swing vote has the effect of doubling the numbers of those who have been lost to a particular campaign. It is one thing to lose 1.65 million votes, but if that group turns around and votes against their original intentions, that 1.65 million becomes 3.30 million, in effect. They are lost to the original campaign and are added to another, compounding the impact of their vote. Unless Obama can correct this problem, the differential between himself and the Right, falls from 9.5 million votes (his margin of victory in '08) to 6 million with this one 'correction,' alone.

If you believe in my estimates, you will know that another 5 million votes will be cast against Obama in 2012. These are those conservatives who "had enough" of the compromising GOP and stayed away from the polls, in 2008. Suddenly, the differential is one million, in Obama's favor.

The white vote, according to Gallup, constituted 53 % of this demographic's total.






No comments:

Post a Comment