Take a good look at the chart from PEW Research, comparing voting demographics of 2008 and where things stand today.
Obviously, looking at the far right column versus the 2011 comparisons, it is difficult to see how Obama has a chance at winning in 2012.
As you review the 2008 numbers, you might be surprised to realize that the election was as close as it was, hardly a referendum on the presidency. Don't forget that he spent a billion dollars (oh yes he did !!) to win election by [only] 7% of the popular vote.
He made promise after promise. He told us all that he was going to "hit the ground running," that he would keep the recession under control, that employment would not go above 8%. He implied that the nation was simply waiting for leadership; that there were hundreds of shovel ready jobs, just waiting for the kind of leadership he was representing. He told us that our enemies were our enemies because we did not treat them with respect. He cursed American Exceptional and assailed Israel for being occupiers of Jerusalem. He reminded those who listened to him campaign in Germany that "now is the time the earth begins to cool and the oceans begin to recede." He promised a "fundamental transformation of the United States of America" and spoke of a bi-partisan form of governance not seen in modern American history. Two and half years later, he is about to enter the campaign season with none of the above on his resume'.
You should know that all demographics listed on the chart, are categories found in each of four regions in this country: the Northeast, the Midwest, the South and the West. Because of this fact, the regions include all the voting information needed for an adequate comparison.
With that in mind, compare the four regions under 2008. Obama and the Democrats won three of the four with the GOP winning only in the Southern region. Today, things are very different. The GOP has substantial leads in three of the four regions and loses to the Dems, in the Northeast, by only 1 percentage point (44 to 45).
If we add up the point separation for the four region in 2008, we find that Obama won in the four-region category by only two points, total. Today, the regional totals represent a separation against Obama of 44 points.
I have been saying for nearly a year and a half, even before Rush, that I thought Obama was headed for one of the most one sided defeats in modern times. This chart helps to justify my claim. Of course circumstances can change. But, Obama is quickly reaching the point of no return with regards to effective "transformative" policy. Think about it; there are only 13 months before election day, November 6th, 2012.
Understand that numbers as one sided as those on this chart mean a defeat, not only for Obama, but for his party.
The 2012 election could be even more one sided than the 2010 election. Obama is no longer the front runner in the up and coming election, and his Democrat Senate is in big trouble, as well. 22 Democrat Senators are up for re-election while only 10 Republicans risk defeat. If the GOP wins 7 of the 22 Democrat seats, they control the Senate. Admittedly, this is a big task, but not out of the question. . . . . . . . not at all.
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