More bad news for the Democrats - Its called "reapportionment."

In a FoxNews poll, only 29% of those polled believe that Obama will be re-elected. But there is more bad news for the stranger in our White House.

The Associated Press is about to carry a report the first of this coming week that outlines the potential results of the census as relates to a thing called "reapportionment."

The whole of the United States, including Alaska and Hawaii, is divided into 435 congressional districts. There is a formula that efforts that 435 number --- one representative per district or one representative per 680,000 Americans.

You may have heard the claim that this nation is a "right leaning" population. That is a distinction established in a [Gallup] polling question, "setting aside political party identification, how would you identify your political views - Liberal, conservative, or independent?" The result of that question is, perhaps, the most consistent of all polling results. Year after year, for decades, "liberal" comes in at between 17% and 23%; "conservative" between 36% and 45% and "independent" almost identical to "conservative." Understand that there are fewer Republicans than Democrats, but twice as many conservatives as liberal.

Over the course of the past decade, there has been a population shift, something that is documented with the taking of the census every 10 years. This decade, the shift benefits the Republicans. The reapportionment will redraw district boundaries in order to make them roughly equal in size -- all 435 district.

Texas will gain four House seats while New York and Ohio could lose two representative seats each. Districts will be effected in favor of the GOP; only 43 districts will be effected in favor of the Democrats. Not good news for the Democrats.

And, there is more bad news. As a result of the November midterm "wipe-out," 682 legislative appointments (these are individuals) moved into the GOP camp and something like 32 state governorships are in the hands of Republicans including key election states, Ohio and Florida. In 2008, the majority of states were controlled by the Democrat Party. That has revered itself, just in time to influence reapportioned boundaries and the coming election.

Key word: 2012 , election influences


No comments:

Post a Comment