How important is the presidencial race in 2020 to the future of the House?

HOUSE 2020: OUR INITIAL RATINGS
Democratic overperformance in 2018 gives the majority party breathing room to start, but a GOP presidential win could put the House in play

By Kyle Kondik
Managing Editor, Sabato's Crystal Ball

KEY POINTS FROM THIS ARTICLE

-- Democrats start the cycle favored to hold the House majority, but a GOP presidential victory would open the door to Republicans restoring total control of Washington.
-- Overall, roughly equal numbers of Democratic (47) and Republican (46) districts begin the cycle listed in our ratings in the Toss-up, Leans, and Likely categories. That means that more than three of every four House districts (79%) begin the cycle as rated Safe for the incumbent party.
-- Presidential trends in these districts -- both where they’ve been and where they may be going -- were a major factor in the ratings.

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