(CNN)The bounce is back.
Donald
Trump comes out of his convention ahead of Hillary Clinton in the race
for the White House, topping her 44% to 39% in a four-way matchup
including Gary Johnson (9%) and Jill Stein (3%) and by three points in a
two-way head-to-head, 48% to 45%. That latter finding represents a
6-point convention bounce for Trump, which are traditionally measured in
two-way matchups.
There
hasn't been a significant post-convention bounce in CNN's polling since
2000. That year Al Gore and George W. Bush both boosted their numbers
by an identical 8 points post-convention before ultimately battling all
the way to the Supreme Court.
The new findings mark Trump's best showing in a CNN/ORC Poll against
Clinton since September 2015. Trump's new edge rests largely on
increased support among independents, 43% of whom said that Trump's
convention in Cleveland left them more likely to back him, while 41%
were dissuaded. Pre-convention, independents split 34% Clinton to 31%
Trump, with sizable numbers behind Johnson (22%) and Stein (10%). Now,
46% say they back Trump, 28% Clinton, 15% Johnson and 4% Stein.
The
poll also reflects a sharpening of the education divide among whites
that has been prevalent throughout the campaign. Among white voters with
college degrees, Clinton actually gained ground compared with
pre-convention results, going from an even 40% to 40% split to a 44% to
39% edge over Trump. That while Trump expanded his lead with white
voters who do not hold a college degree from a 51% to 31% lead before
the convention to a 62% to 23% lead now.
Beyond boosting his overall
support, Trump's favorability rating is also on the rise (46% of
registered voters say they have a positive view, up from 39%
pre-convention), while his advantage over Clinton on handling top issues
climbs. He now holds double-digit margins over Clinton as more trusted
on the economy and terrorism. Trump also cut into Clinton's edge on
managing foreign policy (50% said they trusted her more, down from 57%
pre-convention).
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