At first glance (the chart below), the advantage goes to the Democrats. So, why has the White House been occupied by a Republican 28 years versus the Democrats 20, since and including Nixon? Why have the last two mid-term elections (2010 and 2014) been so one sided in favor of the GOP?
Two reasons come to mind; the first is seen in this chart. When you add up those states that have voted Democrat 4 times or more, Democrats score 23 and the GOP surprisingly scores 24 and the remaining two states have split their vote 3 to 3 since 1992. More than this, when Gallup takes a poll of "libs versus conservatives apart from party identification," the percentages favor "conservative" by a 40 to 20 margin, on average. Understand that there are conservative Democrats, and more than you might think.
One additional but little known fact is this: there are more registered Republicans than Democrats. A fourth consideration comes to mind, as well: Barack is not nearly as popular as the media wants you to believe. In his re-election campaign of 2012, he took in 3.5 million fewer votes than in 2008 while the feckless Mitt Romney took in 1 million more votes than John McCain. Compare that to Bush 43 who took in 12 million more votes in his re-election effort than he did in his first campaign.
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