The recent CBO report makes it clear that the nation's Progressives have given up on "job creation" and these clowns think this is a good thing.

10 Trillion will be added to the national debt over the course of the next ten years.  Obama's lie had ObamaCare adding more than 150 billion dollars per year,  to the nation's economy.  Instead,  this "10 trillion" number is 1 trillion per year,  more than 10 times the estimated cost  . . . . . estimated by the liars within this Administration.  I do not like the sound of "liar" but there is simply no way to frame this eventuality.  NOTHING about ObamaCare has been proven to be true.  It increases the costs for all you have to actually pay for their coverage,  and those increases are dramatic.  We were promised just the opposite.  We were promised we could keep our current policies and doctors and hospitals  -  outrageous lies told by people who knew these were lies at the time they were spoken.  "Universal?"  Just as many folks will be uninsured by the time "sign-ups" are over,  than before,  and,  the authors of this idiot's bill knew this to be true at the time of the false projections.  Abortions will be funded despite promises arrogantly made,  otherwise.  

The following is page 14 of this 176 page report.  I think it is as important a single page within this summary by the Congressional Budget Office (CBO), as any.  Editor notes not a part of the CBO text are noted in obvious terms.

  
(Page) 14 

THE BUDGET AND ECONOMIC OUTLOOK: 2014 TO 2024 FEBRUARY 2014

Click on "CBO" for the full and official report. 

CBO’s Baseline Budget Projections for  2015 to 2024

CBO constructs its baseline in accordance with provisions
set forth in the Balanced Budget and Emergency
Deficit Control Act of 1985 (P.L. 99-177) and the
Congressional Budget and Impoundment Control Act of
1974 (P.L. 93-344). For the most part, those laws require
that the baseline projections incorporate the assumption
that current laws governing taxes and spending remain in
place in future years. 

(Note: Baseline budgeting begins with current spending levels as the "baseline" for establishing future funding requirements and assumes future budgets will equal the current budget multiplied by the inflation rate times the population growth rate.  It assumes systemic increases in spending with no end in sight. When discussing a particular budget based on baseline projections,  the particular year used in setting the baseline becomes critical and this changes changes with the passing of each and every fiscal year - blog editor)

Under that assumption, CBO projects that the budget
deficit will continue shrinking in 2015—to $478 billion,
or 2.6 percent of GDP. But beginning in 2016, the deficit
is projected to increase again both in dollar terms and as a
share of the economy, totaling 4.2 percent of GDP by
2022 before dipping back down to 4.0 percent in 2024.
That decline in the deficit is the result of shifts in the timing
of certain payments; without those shifts, the deficit
would increase from 3.9 percent of GDP in 2022 to
4.2 percent in 2024.8
Most of the projected decline in the deficit next year
under CBO’s baseline [using the 2012 or is                                                                     it the 2013 budgetary numbers ??]                                                                                  is the result of a significant rise in
projected revenues. In total, revenues are estimated to
increase by 9 percent in 2015—in part because of the
recent expiration of various tax provisions—reaching
18.2 percent of GDP. They are projected to remain fairly
stable as a share of GDP through 2024.

Outlays in CBO’s baseline grow to about 21 percent of
GDP in 2015 and then generally follow an upward trend,
reaching 22.4 percent of GDP by 2024.9 Because of the
aging of the population, rising health care costs, and a
significant expansion in eligibility for federal subsidies for
health insurance, outlays for Social Security and the
federal government’s major health care programs are
projected to rise substantially relative to the size of the
economy over the next 10 years. In addition, growing
debt and rising interest rates will boost net interest payments.
Total spending on all other programs is projected
to decline relative to GDP between 2015 and 2024,
primarily because of improving economic conditions and
the spending limits in current law.

Revenues
If current laws remained unchanged, revenues would
increase as a share of GDP by 0.7 percentage points from
2014 to 2015, by CBO’s estimates. Slightly more than
half of that increase would result from changes in tax
provisions, including the recent expiration of various provisions
affecting corporate and individual income taxes
and the implementation of fees and fines established by
the Affordable Care Act (see Chapter 4 for more details
on those changes).

From 2016 through 2024, revenues in CBO’s baseline
remain between 18.0 percent and 18.4 percent of GDP,
largely reflecting offsetting movements in receipts from
individual and corporate income taxes and remittances
from the Federal Reserve. Individual income taxes are
projected to generate increasing revenues relative to the
size of economy, growing from 8.5 percent of GDP in
2015 to 9.4 percent in 2024. The increase stems largely
from real bracket creep (a phenomenon in which growth
in real, or inflation-adjusted, income of individuals
pushes more income into higher tax brackets) and from
increases in withdrawals from tax-deferred retirement
accounts as baby boomers retire.

In contrast, after the first few years of the projection
period, corporate income tax receipts and remittances
from the Federal Reserve decline relative to the size of the
economy in CBO’s baseline. Corporate income tax
receipts are projected to decrease relative to GDP after
2016 because of an anticipated drop in domestic economic
profits relative to GDP, the result of rising interest
payments on businesses’ debt, growing labor costs, and
increasing deductions for depreciation on the larger stock
of business capital. Remittances from the Federal Reserve,
which have been very high by historical standards in the
past four years because of changes in the size and composition
of the central bank’s portfolio of securities, decline

in CBO’s projections to more typical levels.

4 comments:

  1. The Congressional Budget Office is out with its latest report on the Affordable Care Act, and here are a few bottom lines:
    — The ACA is cheaper than it expected.
    — It will "markedly increase" the number of Americans with health insurance.
    — The risk-adjustment provisions, which Congressional Republicans want to overturn as a "bailout" of the insurance industry, will actually turn a profit to the U.S. Treasury.



    http://www.latimes.com/business/hiltzik/la-fi-mh-cbo-20140204,0,3106578.story#ixzz2sYMTRhY9

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  2. The CBO report tells us that ObamaCare will cost the economy 2.3 million jobs in the coming decade AND cost 10 trillion dollars. No Democrat social program is financially viable on its own merits . . . . none. There is absolutely no reason to even argue that ObamaCare will be different. The risk adjustment provisions in the law are, in fact, bailout provisions, period. The law written with financial failure in mind, That is the reason for this bailout provisions. to argue otherwise is just silly-stupid. The point of "page 14" is this: deficits will decrease in the short term, but by 2024, our national/annual deficits will more than double - almost all of this increase due to ObamaCare.

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  3. Compared to what? The status quo?

    Short sighted, ignorance.

    http://watercooler-blog.info/wp-content/uploads/2013/05/health-spending-graph.jpg

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  4. This is a CBO conclusion, Moron, not mine.

    ReplyDelete