One poll - two results: Obama leads 58-35 or is it Romney 53% and Obama, 46.5%?

Public Policy Poll reports:

Raleigh, N.C. – Barack Obama is in no danger of losing Massachusetts, but his lead there has shrunk since the last time PPP polled the state in March. Obama leads Romney by 16 points, 55-39, down from a whopping 23-point lead three months ago when Romney was in the midst of getting battered by his Republican primary rivals. At that point, Obama led 58-35.   . . . . .

Here is why I am not worried about this poll.  In fact,  I think it proves that Romney is in great shape in Massachusetts.  Yes  --  GREAT SHAPE,  I say.  

And here is my reasoning: 

To create the illusion of a monstrous lead for Obama,  PPP queried 39 Democrats for every 13 Republicans questioned.  That’s 3 Democrats for every one Republican.  Let’s break this down,  the “educated Okie way.”  


First, using polling stats,  we know that  3 Democrats and 1 Republican gives us a divide of 58/35  (93% responding to the poll).  If we divide this 93 total by 4,  each person in the poll represented 23.25% of the total.   But there is a problem.  3 Democrats  x 23.25 equals  66.75 %, not 58% which means  some Democrats questioned moved to the Romney camp,  in this survey. 

If the poll had questioned an equal number of Dems and Republicans,  and all else was equal,  Romney would have polled close to 53% and Obama,  46.5%. 

Of course,  Dems outnumber Republicans in the state,  nearly 2 to 1.  The race will rest on turn out  --  but Massachusetts is not a winner for Romney, unless, of course,  the Dems are so discouraged with the phony they have at the head of their party,  that they simply stay at home.   

Understand that from now to election day,  we will be fed a steady stream of phony polling statistics.  This PPP is a typical Leftist trick.  Always look for the polls “justification” or “methodology.”  In most polls (90% of the time) showing Democrat strength,  the demographics favor the Dems.