In terms of the "recovery," it stalled in 2011 and may "stall out" in 2012. If so, Obama will have stepped off the end of the plank. Hope he knows how to float.

Here is what a few folks in Colorado are thinking: 

This small, anecdotal portal into the voting preferences of Colorado voters,  is part of my reasoning.  After reading the results and associated comments,  I had this thought:  if the nation dips back into an official recession (two negative quarters in a row), Obama is will be "finished" in the minds of those who want to believe in him.  In fact,  if we dip into negative territory - and I am talking about "GDP" - in either of the next two quarters,  I believe he is finished.  Understand that 2010 was a rebound year with GDP averaging a little under 3% per quarter.  2011 was different.  The "recovery" stalled, with only the 4Q showing more than 2% GDP.  The 1Q of 2012 was a very disappointing 1.9% and we are finishing up with the 2Q this month (June).  Only the 2Q and 3Q remain before the election in November.  Obama is very quickly, running out of time.   
Last night, veteran Democratic pollster Peter Hart conducted a focus group featuring 12 undecided, ticket-splitting voters in Colorado . . . .  Ten of the participants voted for Obama in 2008; only three of them said they leaned towards re-electing him in 2012. In an initial survey taking leaners into account, Mitt Romney led Obama 5-3, with four completely undecided.  

(FULL COVERAGE: 2012 Battleground States)

Listening to the feedback from the group, it was striking how many of them have grown disillusioned from their own expectations set by Obama's soaring rhetoric from 2008, and the less-inspiring reality that transpired. 
After being shown footage of a campaign speech by Obama, the prevailing sentiment was that the president was a slick salesman, but his words didn't match his actions.

"I got duped. I fell under his spell. What he's done with the car industry is the only real success," said Patrick Allen, a 27-year-old health care consultant, who voted for Obama in 2008. "I feel like I was somewhat lied to." 
"He came in as a wild card... I haven't seen him do anything extraordinary," said Kelly Capra, 49, a United Airlines customer service representative who said she'd vote for him if he "could do something huge, like really lower the price of gas.". . . .  .  read the full article here. 


Editor's notes:  I have been telling the readership for months,  the coming election is looking like it might be a blowout.  That is not over-confidence.  Rather,  it is a prediction based on polling data and election results over the past 3 1/2 years.

This small, anecdotal portal into the voting preferences of Colorado voters,  is part of my reasoning.  After reading the results and associated comments,  I had this thought:  if the nation dips back into an official recession (two negative quarters in a row), Obama will be "finished" in the minds of those who want to believe in him.  In fact,  if we dip into negative territory - and I am talking about "GDP" - in either of the next two quarters,  I believe he is finished.  Understand that 2010 was a rebound year with GDP averaging a little under 3% per quarter.  2011 was different.  The "recovery" stalled, with only the 4Q showing more than 2% GDP.  The 1Q of 2012 was a very disappointing 1.9% and we are finishing up with the 2Q this month (June).  Only the 2Q and 3Q remain before the election in November.  Obama is very quickly, running out of time.  

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