Rasmussen Reports | 8/20 - 8/22 | 1500 LV | 44 | 56 | -12 |
Gallup | 8/19 - 8/21 | 1500 A | 40 | 53 | -13 |
Democracy Corps (D) | 8/6 - 8/10 | 1000 LV | 45 | 50 | -5 |
Washington Post | 8/9 - 8/9 | 601 A | 44 | 46 | -2 |
FOX News | 8/7 - 8/9 | 904 RV | 42 | 48 | -6 |
Reuters/Ipsos | 8/4 - 8/8 | 1055 A | 45 | 52 | -7
|
CNN/Opinion Research | 8/5 - 8/7 | 1008 A | 44 | 54 | -10 |
McClatchy/Marist | 8/2 - 8/4 | 807 RV | 44 | 46 | -2 |
To be honest, I want to use this set of comparisons to make the point as to the bias of the various polling companies . . . . . . but I really cannot using these numbers. I do believe that Five Thirty-Eight (a Washington Post project) is the most biased of those listed and, yet, it has Obama's approval numbers among the lowest of the above entities.
But forget "approval" numbers. Really, I think the election will be about his numbers as relates to specific issues. For example, his "approval" numbers for his dealings with the economy is at 26%. In fact, nearly all of the major categories under Obama's purview have him in the 20 percentile bracket. It is his specific job performance(s) that is at stake, and he knows that he is in big trouble in this department.
The really big news in all this is the fact that Obama is running out of time to deal with the economy. Understand that by the time we get to April of next year, people, voters, will be making up their mind in a final sense as to what they are going to do. Obama does not have a "year and a half," but only 8 months. If not before April and certainly afterwards, the rhetorical wars will be well under way. Six months from that time, we will have one of the most significant elections in history.
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