We have not published one of these charts in a long while. This is a measure of those who strongly support and oppose Obama's work as president. The "minus 18" you see on the chart is the difference between the two opposing factions. The record separation is "minus 23" recorded September 5 of 2010. As you can see, those who oppose the Administration have been increasing in number and determination from the beginning of the man's term in office.
While the charting of those who approve (green line) of Obama has leveled off and is not in further decline, the charting of those who dislike the policies of the Novice in Office continues to increase on a steady incline.
We believe the number of those who are not approving of Mr. Obama total more than 75 million while those who support Obama number 56 million. But two months of campaigning remain and these numbers should change in Obama's favor base on the principle that when you are at bottom, there is no place to go but up.
We see three influences that could change things for Obama overnight:
Gas prices at the pump could influence the election against Obama - but prices are expect to remain the same or decrease somewhat. Our nation is sitting of millions of gallons of reserves.
A double-dip on the "recession" scene would put negative pressure on the Obama numbers, as well. Three weeks ago, this was more of a concern than it is today. We do not anticipate a double-dip.
A terrorist homeland event involving a large number of American's would be catastrophic for the Dems. This is always a possibility. We believe the likelihood of this circumstance has increased since Obama took office.
Finally, the hard numbers for and against Obama are these: 45% approve and 54% disapprove as of September 8.
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