Trump
Still Leads in Iowa;
Fiorina on Fire; Paul Tanking
Raleigh, N.C. –
PPP's
newest Iowa
poll finds Donald Trump leading the Republican field in the state even after a
weekend of controversy. He's at 19% to 12% for Ben Carson and Scott Walker, 11%
for Jeb Bush, 10% for Carly Fiorina, 9%
for Ted Cruz, and 6% for Mike Huckabee and Marco Rubio.
The other
9 candidates are all clustered between 3% and having no support at all (George Pataki)-
John Kasich and Rand Paul are at 3%, Bobby Jindal, Rick Perry, and Rick Santorum
at 2%, Chris Christie at 1%, and Jim Gilmore, Lindsey Graham, and Pataki all have less
than 1%.
“Donald
Trump’s public fight with Fox News might hurt him in the long run,” said Dean Debnam,
President of Public Policy Polling. “But for the time being he continues to
lead the
pack.”
PPP last
polled Iowa
in April and at that time Trump had a 40/40 favorability rating with GOP
voters. On this poll his favorability is 46/40, not substantially better than it
four months
ago. That suggests Trump's favorability could be back on the way down after peaking
sometime in the last few weeks.
But at
any rate Trump does have the advantage with pretty much every segment of the
GOP electorate- he's up with Evangelicals, men, women, voters in every age
group, moderates, voters who are most
concerned with having the candidate who is most conservative on the issues, and
voters who are most concerned about having a candidate who can
win the general election.
The
biggest winner coming out of the debate looks to be Carly Fiorina. Her
favorability rating is
now 56/15, compared to 30/15 when we polled Iowa in April. She was such a nonfactor
the last time we polled that we didn't even bother to include her in the horse race
question but now she's at 10% and in the top 5. Fiorina also ties with Walker as the most
frequent 2nd choice of GOP voters at 11%.
Besides
Fiorina the only other candidate who seems to have any momentum is Carson. He was at
5% in April and has seen his support go up by 5 points to its new 12% standing.
Carson is also
the most popular candidate in the field, with a 69/10 favorability rating.
That's up from a 44/15 spread in April.
The
biggest loser in the poll is Rand Paul. He now has a negative favorability
rating at 31/45.
That gives him the worst numbers of anyone in the field, outdistancing even Chris Christy.

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